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- Aug 26, 2011
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I was in a meeting yesterday morning with some [very] bigwigs, and the things they said with a certainty about the future college landscape will make your toes curl. The confluence of the end of the baby-boom-boom coupled with the disappearance of state subsidies for college's and the gap between income and tuition is going to END a great many schools in America.
Who will survive: state land grants with much more room for growth (the state systems and schools being addressed are slated to increase enrollment by 50% (50!!!%) in the next 2 decades). Other than these, highly reputable privates with very large endowments.
The sorting out has already begun. A decent percentage of schools have abandoned capital improvements. The hoarding has already started.
If you care about sports, be careful who you affiliate with. Even if they are P5, the school may end up with a football team--and nothing else.
As I look at the Big East, for instance, I gotta wonder, how many of these schools will be hurting? Look at the MAC: I'd be scared to death. Smaller state campuses will devolve into community colleges. The big state schools are going to try to soak up as many of the good students as they possibly can.
Flat out, a good many schools will be shuttering doors.
Who will survive: state land grants with much more room for growth (the state systems and schools being addressed are slated to increase enrollment by 50% (50!!!%) in the next 2 decades). Other than these, highly reputable privates with very large endowments.
The sorting out has already begun. A decent percentage of schools have abandoned capital improvements. The hoarding has already started.
If you care about sports, be careful who you affiliate with. Even if they are P5, the school may end up with a football team--and nothing else.
As I look at the Big East, for instance, I gotta wonder, how many of these schools will be hurting? Look at the MAC: I'd be scared to death. Smaller state campuses will devolve into community colleges. The big state schools are going to try to soak up as many of the good students as they possibly can.
Flat out, a good many schools will be shuttering doors.