[
QUOTE="Carnac, post: 1810537, member: 5798"]We make assumptions in everyday life. We assume that when we run to the toilet, there will be toilet paper available. When we are driving and approach an intersection, we assume that the cross traffic has/will stop.
We also assume that when we use our credit/debit cards while shopping, the transaction will go through. And we assume that every time we get in our cars and turn the key, the car will start.
But I do get your point. I
assume (perhaps unjustifiably) that Washington & Oregon State will finish in the top third of the Pac 12 this season. I DO NOT EXPECT EITHER OF THEM TO MAKE THE FINAL 4 !!!
I don't think the fans of either of those two programs are harboring that dream.
A collapse or slide of that nature usually takes several years. I don't see that being the case at either of those two programs.
I do expect
Baylor, Notre Dame and
South Carolina to make amends for their early exit from the tournament last season. You know they are P**sed off, and are going to go through the season with an attitude, vowing that what happened last year,
will not happen THIS year. To coin an old phrase: "They are going to be hell bent for leather", focused on one goal this season, making it to the final four. All three of these teams are projected to be
top 5 nationally. Personally, I don't expect any early exits this year from any of them. I expect them to make the
great 8. I'm not making any predictions beyond that. Who knows, one of them may run into that dark horse on the way to grandma's house.
There is
always a "
dark horse" in every NCAA Tournament. A team that comes in under the radar, wins games they are not projected/expected to win. Last year, there were 3. Three teams that made it all the way to the final weekend, that
no one saw getting there. There will be a dark horse (that 4th team) this year. Who will it be? I doubt all 4 #1 seeds will make it to the final weekend. IF UConn were to make it to the final four this year, I think they would be considered that dark horse, because
no one at this point (Sept 18, 2016) expects them to be there.[/QUOTE]
First paragraph is one of an OPTIMIST !! I'm pragmatic/ semi-pessimist. I choose your mental state, if I could!
I was not being critical--asking what you saw left in those teams that made you a believer---I liked both teams this past year. The three you mention, like this past year should have/should be final 4 in 2017 April. It is with great optimism and belief in Geno and KLS, Collier, Gabby, Chong, Butler (Ihope), knowing that Kayla and Dangerfield have talent and Bent has BB IQ....
The wonderful thing about the WBB year is that teams EVOLVE--I agree with the Dark Horse comment. But last year was a Fluke and those (except Uconn) that made the final 4 proved they did not belong