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Message: [QUOTE="Dogdeacon, post: 2430474, member: 1026"] You have to factor in how the picks did in their first few years when they were under rookie/binding contracts. [B]Louis Williams[/B] I missed, didn't know he was LOU - [B]change to ABOVE DWright[/B] played 6 yrs with Miami averaged 2.3, 2.9, 6, 7.9, 3.1 PPG that sucks BELOW [B]Gerald Green[/B] spent most of 1st season in D-league 5ppg in NBA, then 10pts next year then traded as flotsam to MN along with Al Jefferson, Gomes (why didn't UConn sign him?!), Ratliff & Telfair for Garnett. Green then averaged <6ppg over ensuing 2yrs for two different teams then played overseas for 2yrs & finally came back as 25yr old & became a decent NBA bench player. Do we think college would have helped him?! BELOW [B]Bynum[/B] -c'mon, he would have gone to UConn, he's not a better pro with a year of Jim Calhoun! He averaged 1.6 his first year & 7.8 his 2nd. But the Lakers kept him and he emerged as a star for 5yrs. He was done by the age of 26 and therefore not exactly a great systemic argument for high schoolers in the NBA (benefitted himself & Lakers, overall negative for league) - nonetheless b/c of championship change to [B]ABOVE Tyson Chandler -[/B] 5yrs in Chicago averaged 1-6PPG, 4.8RPG, yr2-9.2, 6.9, yr3-6.1, 7.7,yr4-8.0, 9.7,yr5 5.3, 9.0. Struggled to stay on court due to foul problems, injuries & feuded with teammates, only once he was traded to NOrleans (for JR Smith & PJ Brown - not #2 pick-ish value) did he emerge as the player he ultimately became. Chicago didn't get close to your avg #2 value for their 5yrs. BELOW So revised count among lottery is 4 ABOVE vs 10 BELOW - I think that's still worth the 1&done rule. [/QUOTE]

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