This is the right call...The numbers are in. If you are relatively young and healthy, you have little to fear.
There are those who choose to embrace numbers extolled by their favorite demagogue, of
whatever affiliation. Some folks like the numbers from their favorite astrologer. Still others look in the bottom of their Cracker Jack™ box for numbers in tune wih their pre-disposed nutty sweet spot (
all puns intended).
Here are some numbers from Johns Hopkins University and the University of Pennsylvania (where an individual of your acquaintance received an undergraduate degree at the Wharton School):
World sees highest 1-day increase since coronavirus outbreak began
The globe saw an increase of 106,000 COVID-19 cases in the last day.
A pandemic of the novel coronavirus has now killed more than 328,000 people worldwide.
Since the first cases were detected in China in December, the United States has become the worst-affected country, with more than 1.5 million diagnosed cases and at least 93,431 deaths.
source: World sees highest 1-day increase since coronavirus outbreak began
"A forecast from the University of Pennsylvania’s Penn Wharton Budget Model estimated that the number of cumulative deaths from the virus in the United States would rise to 157,000 from the current about 92,000 by the end of July if states maintained restrictions. A partial or full reopening could bring an additional 15,000 or 73,000 deaths, respecctively"
About three weeks ago, the CDC released a very carefully done study of hundreds of Covid-19 patients hospitalized in Georgia. Mortality rates were the same for all races. The most troubling aspect of the report was that both for hospitalizations and for deaths, 25% of patients had no pre-existing conditions, and this ratio held across
all age groups, including the young and healthy.
This report characterizes a cohort of hospitalized adults with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Georgia in which black patients were overrepresented and one in four hospitalized patients ...
www.cdc.gov
From the summary---
Summary
What is already known about this topic?
Older adults and persons with underlying medical conditions are at higher risk for severe COVID-19. Non-Hispanic black patients are overrepresented among hospitalized U.S. COVID-19 patients.
What is added by this report?
In a cohort of 305 hospitalized adults with COVID-19 in Georgia (primarily metropolitan Atlanta), black patients were overrepresented, and their clinical outcomes were similar to those of nonblack patients. One in four hospitalized patients had no recognized risk factors for severe COVID-19.
What are the implications for public health practice?
Prevention activities should prioritize communities and racial groups most affected by severe COVID-19.
Increased awareness of the risk for serious illness among all adults, regardless of underlying medical conditions or age, is needed.