Someone else would step in before ESPN. All they need to do is get to 10, and Fox sees that it will be starved the way things are going, so it would go for the B12. ESPN is not going to have its feelings hurt by Bowlsby either, so I see no reason for the B12 to do anything other than add 2. If it were me, I'd add BYU and UCF and then call it a day.Of course it’s counterintuitive if your looking at the best possible product.
Of course if your a Disney Bean Counter
devaluating the B12 and adding
WVA
OSU
Kansas
Baylor
Maybe even 2 more to the AAC is less costly
That move enables you to get those schools significantly cheaper than the sane way.
If I where in the B12 who will be cash heavy
I’d offer Aresco the Conference President job plus a signing bonus
to sell out ECU, Temple, Tulane , Tulsa , and maybe one or two more and merge the rest
That would be a less drastic hair cut for the B12 schools and decent bump for the AAC survivors. It will cost more money and Aresco can claim P5 .
Adding, Cinncy, Houston, SMU , Memphis , to the mix makes it a 7-8 team BB tourney contender.
Easier to give the AAC a raise then break the contract for the big 12 to give them a cut, unless there is an out clause for losing OU and Texas.Of course it’s counterintuitive if your looking at the best possible product.
Of course if your a Disney Bean Counter
devaluating the B12 and adding
WVA
OSU
Kansas
Baylor
Maybe even 2 more to the AAC is less costly
That move enables you to get those schools significantly cheaper than the sane way.
If I where in the B12 who will be cash heavy
I’d offer Aresco the Conference President job plus a signing bonus
to sell out ECU, Temple, Tulane , Tulsa , and maybe one or two more and merge the rest
That would be a less drastic hair cut for the B12 schools and decent bump for the AAC survivors. It will cost more money and Aresco can claim P5 .
Adding, Cinncy, Houston, SMU , Memphis , to the mix makes it a 7-8 team BB tourney contender.
There has to be a clause in the contract saying that any material change to membership allows FOX to get out/change the payout.Easier to give the AAC a raise then break the contract for the big 12 to give them a cut, unless there is an out clause for losing OU and Texas.
Not seeing any incentive for the B12 schools to do anything but soak up the remaining money. A reckoning is coming but unless there's enough media money and it's allowed by contract to raid 2-4 AAC teams they're stuck. How does that even work? Who is their media partner. Like the ACC is stuck by contract. Everyone waits for the Big 10 to make a move that may or may not involve the PAC. If that happens PAC leftovers come into the mix. I'm onboard with Flugs on that and I'll go down with the ship. Maybe.There has to be a clause in the contract saying that any material change to membership allows FOX to get out/change the payout.
Otherwise the 8 remaining teams would throw UT/OK out now and chop up their shares. It would give the remaining 8 a raise until 2025 when the deal expires
This iteration of realignment appears to be about conference’s adding content people want to watch. Adding highly recognizable national brands is the best way to accomplish this. Perhaps the next best option is adding rivalry games.
The Big 12 is not going to be able to add a national brand. I accordingly wonder if focusing on existing or potential rivalries isn’t their long-term best option. And rivalries tend to exist or emerge among geographically nearby schools.
Perhaps adding a couple teams from a pool of proximate schools like Houston, Tulane, and Memphis might be a better than adding another geographic outlier?
Pac10 leftovers might not be popular, but they are in much bigger markets. I can't see them having any interest in the B12. Who are we talking about anyway? Stanford? Oregon? Cal? Washington? Arizona? Colorado? I just don't see the point in mixing with Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma St, Iowa St, Kansas St, West Virginia.Not seeing any incentive for the B12 schools to do anything but soak up the remaining money. A reckoning is coming but unless there's enough media money and it's allowed by contract to raid 2-4 AAC teams they're stuck. How does that even work? Who is their media partner. Like the ACC is stuck by contract. Everyone waits for the Big 10 to make a move that may or may not involve the PAC. If that happens PAC leftovers come into the mix. I'm onboard with Flugs on that and I'll go down with the ship. Maybe.
Disney OWNS the SEC brand now?????
This is the new reality unfortunately. ESPiN always been a propaganda mouthpiece for their media properties, and now the propaganda noise will just get louder and longer now that they own the SEC media rights.As you guys are aware, I have always maintained that people watch marquis match ups. Brands.
The SEC has cornered major brands...Texas-LSU and Oklahoma-Alabama is of more interest than Indiana-Wisconsin or Wake Forest-Georgia Tech. ESPN has been evolving and the handwriting was on the wall when CBS had been paying the SEC $55 million per year for the one SEC Game of the Week.....and ESPN upped that to $300 million...
That one SEC game costs them almost what the whole year of ACC games does.
ESPN will have what amounts to NFL Saturdays. Big time programs with the best athletes that money can influence.
And...where things get murky..is that ESPN owns the SEC brand and is also the largest sports media outlet.
They will, as they have been doing, shill the SEC since they own it...their talking heads will play it up even during other games, the SEC games will dominate available band width in the prime hours of watching...all influencing public perception, rankings, etc...
And soon we will see lesser brands, like the ACC, relegated to the ACCN, ESPN+, etc.
The joke about E SEC PN will have become reality.
Fox will try to counter with their brands....it could be a binary world, kind of like Fox News is now to one set of viewers and CNN to the other set.
But no matter what, with streaming, we will be able to watch most of the teams of our choosing..
..and like in the story we read our kids..Horton Hears a Who....
“Don't give up! I believe in you all. A person's a person, no matter how small! And you very small persons will not have to die. If you make yourselves heard! So come on, now, and TRY!”
Make no mistake, there will be a clear divide between the haves and have nots. If B1G does not raid PAC-12 and/or ACC for its top properties, it is just a matter of time before the SEC acquires them all. Can't imagine USC in the SEC? It might be the new reality in a few years.
FWIW:
FWIW:
I don’t believe it’s true as presented in the tweet but the motivation could be FOMO. ACC is getting lapped by SEC and B1G $$ wise.If true, there are going to be a lot of SEC teams vying for a spot in the Birmingham Bowl with 7-5 records.
ACC programs get a lot of money and being a big fish in a medium pond offers a better route to the playoff than a below average sized fish in a lake. If you want the competition, play OoC games.
I don't believe it is true. The ACC GOR runs through 2035 and ESPN already owns the ACC. What is the motivation?
That is true from a program standpoint, but realignment begins and ends with who pays for the product. What reason would ESPN have to pay more for Clemson and FSU?I don’t believe it’s true as presented in the tweet but the motivation could be FOMO. ACC is getting lapped by SEC and B1G $$ wise.
Perhaps the end game is to make a superconference/consortium that in essence becomes akin to being MLB while sifting out as many AAA clubs from the bigs (or at least diluting the impact the AAA clubs have on the economic pie)?That is true from a program standpoint, but realignment begins and ends with who pays for the product. What reason would ESPN have to pay more for Clemson and FSU?
All well and good. But huge chunks of the country are going to tune out.As you guys are aware, I have always maintained that people watch marquis match ups. Brands.
The SEC has cornered major brands...Texas-LSU and Oklahoma-Alabama is of more interest than Indiana-Wisconsin or Wake Forest-Georgia Tech. ESPN has been evolving and the handwriting was on the wall when CBS had been paying the SEC $55 million per year for the one SEC Game of the Week.....and ESPN upped that to $300 million...
That one SEC game costs them almost what the whole year of ACC games does.
ESPN will have what amounts to NFL Saturdays. Big time programs with the best athletes that money can influence.
And...where things get murky..is that ESPN owns the SEC brand and is also the largest sports media outlet.
They will, as they have been doing, shill the SEC since they own it...their talking heads will play it up even during other games, the SEC games will dominate available band width in the prime hours of watching...all influencing public perception, rankings, etc...
And soon we will see lesser brands, like the ACC, relegated to the ACCN, ESPN+, etc.
The joke about E SEC PN will have become reality.
Fox will try to counter with their brands....it could be a binary world, kind of like Fox News is now to one set of viewers and CNN to the other set.
But no matter what, with streaming, we will be able to watch most of the teams of our choosing..
..and like in the story we read our kids..Horton Hears a Who....
“Don't give up! I believe in you all. A person's a person, no matter how small! And you very small persons will not have to die. If you make yourselves heard! So come on, now, and TRY!”
The broadcast rights for the home games of FSU and Clemson have an estimated value. They're worth what they're worth. Broadcasters add the estimated values of member schools together when crafting media contract proposals to a league.That is true from a program standpoint, but realignment begins and ends with who pays for the product. What reason would ESPN have to pay more for Clemson and FSU?