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Message: [QUOTE="UcMiami, post: 3942711, member: 199"] MD#12Fan Recruiting is a very inexact science and one with many variables. It starts with a 16-18 year old making a choice based on limited knowledge and experience. A simple choice of a college for non-athletes is difficult enough and leads to a large percentage of transfers, and a large number of dropouts as well. Why we would expect athletes to do a better job than the general population? Then you have the issue of a step up in the general talent pool and projections of development and fit in a program both by a coaching staff and by the 16-18 year old. And then you have the changing landscape with the specific team as classes get recruited, develop at different rates and graduate. With no guarantee about who will want to come in following years and who will leave as well. There is no easy way to plan those changes, nor how the changes effect the team. And for the recruit, there is also everything outside of the team - friends, significant relationships, family circumstances that change, and minor things like pandemics. And a team is a pressurized environment - lots of hours spent with a small group of people in intense competition within and against a changing world of opponents over 4 years of college - not everything is rosy, and team dynamics change year to year. Saying transfers are a failure is harsh and ignores the human condition. [/QUOTE]