ncaa prediction? seeds

[Hi-Low]

Now we are begging for a good seed. Good team earn high seeds. I hope we drop to at least a four.

Dear Lord who's begging. UConn is a top 10 team so if not a 3 seed then it's a mistake by committee.

 

[UCfor3]

3 or 4. Trying to gauge the self serving whims of the committee is futile.

 

[Waterbury]

No way we are a 5 for everyone saying 5. If that happens, we riot. And if we actually get the 5 we are going to lose to the oral roberts dental dams

I say 60% chance we are a 4, 39% chance we are a 3 and a 1% chance we get 5

 

[superjohn]

If you can’t win close games that is usually not a good thing in the NCAA basketball tourney. It is called March madness for a reason. So unless you are UNLV with Larry Johnson, Stacey Augean, Mark Anthony and I am certain I am missing another nba player from that team, you are going to have to win a close game to advance in the tourney. Sounds like a dilemma

That's what scares the hell out of me.

 

[JB75]

No way we are a 5. I think either 4 in east or 3 somewhere else. If committte loves us, we are 3 in east. Weird thing is this year there’s no good East Coast teams that are one seeds- no UNC Duke Virginia Kentucky so in all reality who the hell do you put in the east as a 1? Bama? Houston ? Ncaa must hate that for ticket sales. Too bad we had that January swoon. This year. Was setting up perfect for the 1 seed in east

 

[Hunt for 7]

Dear Lord who's begging. UConn is a top 10 team so if not a 3 seed then it's a mistake by committee.

I think top ten is a stretch. They are talented enough to be a nc team. But as we saw tonight when the going got tough we turned on each other and played hot potato with the ball as no one wanted to take that last shot. Top ten teams win close games. We don;t win close games. We all know maybe round one if we are 3 seed we get an easy match up. Then in round two it will be a close game and did I mention we don’t win close games. Potential is great but there is something missing with this team.

 

[Phoenixhusky]

4

 

[Hunt for 7]

That's what scares the hell out of me.

How many clutch shots did Bazz hit in 2014. By the final four you knew if it was a close game we were going to find a way to win. Does anyone feel that way about this team.

 

[superjohn]

Xavier taking our 3 seed?

 

[Hunt for 7]

Xavier taking our 3 seed?

That would be appropriate they are better than us. Beat us twice and they are playing without Fremantle pretty impressive. Wish our team had that character!

 

[Brochacho]

Marquette - 3
Xavier - 3
UConn - 4
Creighton - 6
Providence - 11

 

[WrenchFan69]

Prediction: 4 seed, excruciating first or second round loss

 

[Kolumbo]

whateer the seed, 1 and 1. That's the Hurley era. Let's Go!!!

 

[husky99]

If we won tonight we could have been a 3. Feeling 4 in the east

 

[AdamaNation]

3. Worst case a 4. Going to need a lot of things go right to make ff. Basically can’t be in a close game

Like 14? We crushed everyone after the Brimah free throws. Iowa st. Nova. MSU. Florida. Uk.

 

[AdamaNation]

If we won tonight we could have been a 3. Feeling 4 in the east

We’re a 3. It was a very good loss in certain terms.

 

[Huskyforlife]

4 in the East.

 

[gampelcrazies]

I’d rather have a 4 in the east than a 3 somewhere else

 

[Jaker]

3 in the West, 4 in the East

 

[WestCoastHusky]

What seed we are won't matter. We just need to win games in front of us. If we can't land in the East, the West has been good to us in the past.

 

[Dream Jobbed 2.0]

I admire anyone who doesn’t see a 4v13 seed loss as a foregone conclusion’s optimism. Team took 10 steps back last night and exhibited all The classic negative Hurley things.

 

[homunculus]

I admire anyone who doesn’t see a 4v13 seed loss as a foregone conclusion’s optimism. Team took 10 steps back last night and exhibited all The classic negative Hurley things.

Wait. They “took 10 steps back” which caused them to lose to one of the best teams in the nation by 2. That’s quite the ceiling.

Anything can happen in the tournament. UConn has proved that over the years for better and for worse. I’m going to enjoy the ride and if they flame out early I’ll be disappointed but it will have absolutely nothing to do with the doom and gloom prognostication here. It will simply be because it’s incredibly rare to go deep in the tournament, no matter how good you are. Nothing more, nothing less.

 

[willie99]

Probably a 4, and no one seed wants us in their bracket

If Marquette wins the BET and is awarded a 2, we may sneak into a 3 depending on how things play out.

 

[auror]

I’d rather have a 4 in the east than a 3 somewhere else

We could still get Albany as a 3 elsewhere though. I'd rather have Albany than MSG if I had to choose one, because we NEED to win the first 2.

 

[UconnFanDC]

4

 

[Avon]

Wait. They “took 10 steps back” which caused them to lose to one of the best teams in the nation by 2. That’s quite the ceiling.

Anything can happen in the tournament. UConn has proved that over the years for better and for worse. I’m going to enjoy the ride and if they flame out early I’ll be disappointed but it will have absolutely nothing to do with the doom and gloom prognostication here. It will simply be because it’s incredibly rare to go deep in the tournament, no matter how good you are. Nothing more, nothing less.

It's not incredibly rare at all
Lest you forget...

 

[gampelcrazies]

We could still get Albany as a 3 elsewhere though. I'd rather have Albany than MSG if I had to choose one, because we NEED to win the first 2.

Very true but I have a feeling we get to the sweet sixteen so why not get greedy

 

[auror]

Tennessee and some of the B12 teams losing is good, unfortunately we lost and all the teams on the 4 line that we've been competing with for that now available 3 seed (and also Albany) are still alive and won last night (Xavier, Indiana, Virginia). Increasingly likely one of them passes us. Our KPI took a big hit with that loss (partially because 3 of those teams directly behind us won and passed us.). Creighton fell out of Q1A with their big margin loss.

	UConn	Xavier	Indiana	Virginia
Record	25-8	25-8	22-10	25-6
NET	8	19	27	23
Predict Ave	5	14	20	24
Resume Ave	16.5	15.5	17	15
SoS (non-conf)	41 (92)	35 (48)	12 (101)	75 (39)
Q1 (Q1A)	7-6 (3-4)	9-5 (4-4)	6-8 (4-6)	5-4 (1-2)
Q2	6-1	4-2	6-2	6-1
Q1+2	13-7	13-7	12-10	11-5
Bad Losses	1	1	0	1
Away/Neutral	10-6	10-6	7-8	10-5

I think we're still on top of this group, but it's tight with Xavier and their strong Q1 record. Any further wins that close the predictive gap and improve their Q1 and resume metrics could be bad. We should root pretty strongly for Marquette over Xavier and Penn State over Indiana. We want Duke over Virginia, too, but Duke is unfortunately knocking on the doorstop now too.

If they beat Virginia (metrics estimated with slight bump from today's averages)

	Duke
Record	26-8
NET	~15
Predict Ave	~18
Resume Ave	~17.5
Sos (Non-conf)	60 (63)
Q1 (Q1A)	5-6 (1-4)
Q2	7-2
Q1+2	12-8
Bad losses	0
Away/Neutral	9-8

 

[Hunt for 7]

Probably a 4, and no one seed wants us in their bracket

If Marquette wins the BET and is awarded a 2, we may sneak into a 3 depending on how things play out.

Why wouldn’t a one seed want us in their bracket? We can’t win close games and we ain’t blowing out any 1,2 or 3 seeds. I think you may be overstating how much teams fear us. But Ibwill say Marquette acted like they won the NCAA championship with how happy they were. They came in with a chip on their shoulder feeling like they were being dissed and it worked. Remember how well JC played the us agaisnt the world motivation…. Shaka took one from that playbook.

 

[gmc1055]

Just about everyone Uconn is competing with for the 3 or 4 line is not gonna win their tournament. I predict a 3.