My Big East predictions as of 12/23

[shizzle787]

My prediction now that the OOC is over:

1. UConn 28-3 (18-2)*
2. St. John's 22-9 (15-5)*
3. Creighton 19-12 (13-7)
4. Villanova 22-9 (13-7)*
5. Seton Hall 21-10 (11-9)*
6. Butler 19-12 (10-10)
7. Xavier 16-15 (8-12)
8. Providence 14-17 (7-13)
9. Georgetown 15-16 (7-13)
10. Marquette 9-22 (4-16)
11. DePaul 12-19 (4-16)

*= tournament teams

UConn (1)
St. John's (7)
Villanova (8)
Seton Hall (11)

 

[shizzle787]

Torvik tournament odds:

UConn (100%)
St. John's (98.4%)
Seton Hall (79.7%)
Villanova (77.9%)
Butler (60.5%)
Creighton (33.4%)

Providence (0.9%)
Xavier (0.4%)
Georgetown (0.4%)
DePaul (0.2%)
Marquette (0.1%)

Expected bids = 4.5 (highest so far)

 

[Tiamat7]

Butler will be interesting to watch as the conference slate progresses. Their out of conference wins put them on the bubble, subject to a winning BE schedule. You have them at 10-10. That's fair. If they go 13-7 or 12-8, they could be the 5th Big East team. Of course it depends on who they beat. Not sure about the severity of Kaiser's injury.

Creighton is still a work in progress, and they looked awful in out of conference play. McDermott is a terrific coach and I expect their offense to improve. Their lack of athleticism and subpar defense makes them a low ceiling, high floor team.

I suppose four 4 bids is the most likely outcome, though 3 or 5 is certainly possible.

 

[Inyatkin]

Torvik tournament odds:

UConn (100%)
St. John's (98.4%)
Seton Hall (79.7%)
Villanova (77.9%)
Butler (60.5%)
Creighton (33.4%)

Providence (0.9%)
Xavier (0.4%)
Georgetown (0.4%)
DePaul (0.2%)
Marquette (0.1%)

Expected bids = 4.5 (highest so far)

Sounds like Providence has as good a chance as anyone

 

[RuffRuff]

My prediction now that the OOC is over:

1. UConn 28-3 (18-2)*
2. St. John's 22-9 (15-5)*
3. Creighton 19-12 (13-7)
4. Villanova 22-9 (13-7)*
5. Seton Hall 21-10 (11-9)*
6. Butler 19-12 (10-10)
7. Xavier 16-15 (8-12)
8. Providence 14-17 (7-13)
9. Georgetown 15-16 (7-13)
10. Marquette 9-22 (4-16)
11. DePaul 12-19 (4-16)

*= tournament teams

UConn (1)
St. John's (7)
Villanova (8)
Seton Hall (11)

Teams 2-6 will be interesting to watch play each other to see who surfaces. So far, that's been Nova.

 

[shizzle787]

I did a quick exercise to see if the league could get six bids if we go 20-0 (doomed!), and it is possible but unlikely.

UConn 20-0 (30 wins)
Creighton 15-5 (21 wins)
St. John's 14-6 (21 wins)
Butler 13-7 (22 wins)
Nova 12-8 (21 wins)
Seton Hall 12-8 (22 wins)

Providence 9-11 (16 wins)
Xavier 6-14 (15 wins)
Georgetown 3-17 (11 wins)
DePaul 3-17 (11 wins)
Marquette 3-17 (8 wins)

 

[shizzle787]

Tournament odds on Christmas Day:

UConn (100%)
St. John's (98.5%)
Villanova (93.1%)
Seton Hall (66.1%)
Butler (60.9%)
Creighton (32%)
Providence (1%)
Xavier (0.6%)
Georgetown (0.3%)
DePaul (0.1%)
Marquette (0.1%)

Expected bids = 4.5

 

[RuffRuff]

I did a quick exercise to see if the league could get six bids if we go 20-0 (doomed!), and it is possible but unlikely.

UConn 20-0 (30 wins)
Creighton 15-5 (21 wins)
St. John's 14-6 (21 wins)
Butler 13-7 (22 wins)
Nova 12-8 (21 wins)
Seton Hall 12-8 (22 wins)

Providence 9-11 (16 wins)
Xavier 6-14 (15 wins)
Georgetown 3-17 (11 wins)
DePaul 3-17 (11 wins)
Marquette 3-17 (8 wins)

 

[UCLJ0211]

I did a quick exercise to see if the league could get six bids if we go 20-0 (doomed!), and it is possible but unlikely.

UConn 20-0 (30 wins)
Creighton 15-5 (21 wins)
St. John's 14-6 (21 wins)
Butler 13-7 (22 wins)
Nova 12-8 (21 wins)
Seton Hall 12-8 (22 wins)

Providence 9-11 (16 wins)
Xavier 6-14 (15 wins)
Georgetown 3-17 (11 wins)
DePaul 3-17 (11 wins)
Marquette 3-17 (8 wins)

A lot of those teams would need to beat us to beef up their profile, unfortunately

 

[shizzle787]

A lot of those teams would need to beat us to beef up their profile, unfortunately

Not if they win their road games against each other. A quad 1 win (on the road) helps a resume more than a quad 2 loss (at home) hurts it.