JUST MY OPINION
People assume that the future of conference realignment will entail the Power 5 conferences (or at least P5 football) leaving the NCAA to form their own governing body. I believe the most likely scenario will be that FBS football will be spun off as was recommended in the Knight Commission's recent report. I think it will happen sooner rather than later and that CoViD has only accelerated this.
It makes too much sense and solves many of the problems existing in college sports:
- All 130 FBS football programs would leave the NCAA and use football-generated funds to run the now independent FBS;
- Independence from the NCAA will give the new FBS the power to determine how it is governed -- everything from scholarship limits, player transfer and eligibility rules, playoff/bowl/championship system, and distribution of revenue;
- Removing football money from the NCAA will reduce some (certainly not all) of the “power” in the now former Power 5 schools which will begin to level the playing field, not that it will ever be truly level;
- Now basketball is the NCAA’s king. Men’s Basketball and the NCAA Tournament become the generators of funding for the NCAA. In fact, the tourney already provides the NCAA with better than 75% of its annual operating revenue.
- Realignment after the NCAA-FBS split might occur along the lines of re-establishing old rivalries, better geographic fit and controlling travel expenses.
Certainly there are lots of details to be worked out. Many of the fans of schools who “won” the conference realignment sweepstakes are discovering that getting the football money is great for their athletic departments, but not so great for the fan experience – playing schools they have no interest in playing against, TV contracts that make it difficult for fans to watch their teams, feeling like second-class citizens in their new league, fans of conference outliers cannot travel to as many away games due to distance and expense.
Once again, just my opinion. Have at it.