Metrics (12/8) | The Boneyard

Metrics (12/8)

BFieldHusky said:
NET: 7
KenPom: 7
BPI: 8
Massey: 10

SOS: 21

Q1: 3-1
Q2: 1-0
Q3: 0-0
Q4: 4-0

Road/Neutral: 3-0

Notable wins: N BYU (8) N Illinois (13) @Kansas (18)

Upcoming: Florida (N) 22, Texas (H) (86)
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Other than SJU, I have to giggle when I see MSG games as (N)
 
Two left in the gauntlet. Get em both and add a Q1 and Q2 to the tally

Everyone would have taken that result if we were told we would barley have Reed and Mullins for this stretch.

Get the OOC out of the way, run through the regular season, peak in March and April
 
Just as an FYI, Lunardi has us as a 2 seed in the east. Playing opening round in Philly. Duke is the 1 seed.

Interestingly, he had Seton Hall and Villanova as two of his last four in. And Butler was his first team out of the field.
 
BFieldHusky said:
Just as an FYI, Lunardi has us as a 2 seed in the east. Playing opening round in Philly. Duke is the 1 seed.

Interestingly, he had Seton Hall and Villanova as two of his last four in. And Butler was his first team out of the field.
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Love this brackets and going head2head with Duke at regional final is an icing on the cake.
 
.-.
BFieldHusky said:
Just as an FYI, Lunardi has us as a 2 seed in the east. Playing opening round in Philly. Duke is the 1 seed.
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I actually already bought tix for the Philly regional weekend so this would be great.

Rick James GIF
 
I can't wait to compare this to our coming January numbers. Full squad with multiple games played together.
 
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UCLJ0211 said:
How much weight does the committee put into WAB vs. regular NET?
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WAB is newish, but last year was more valuable than regular NET. It's resume focused as opposed to predictive/ability focused. It's most valuable at the margin (for selection) and at the top (for 1 seeds). The teams that finished, 1,2,3 in NET WAB last season got 1 seeds. The last 1-seed was #1 overall in NET (but like 6th in WAB).

It's directionally correlative with where you want to go. It's unclear if the committee cares about WAB, or that the things the committee cares about are built into WAB so the teams that are high in WAB will be highly valued by the committee. Either way, if you're higher chances are the committee will value you.
 
1) win BE regular season title w/ no more than 2 or 3 Ls
2) win the BET
3) 1 seed in the East

i'll be shocked if Duke finishes with a better conference record than we do given the ACC is much improved. they could easily have Ls to any of UNC, Louisville, UVA, Clemson...
 
Do I want to know what WAB stands for?

In earnest, we've racked up a nice quartet of wins against second-weekend caliber teams. Take care of business against so-so Texas and that will wrap up a solid OOC performance with only one blemish.

We should have an inside track to a 1 seed. Michigan, Arizona, Duke are ahead of us. Purdue, ISU, maybe Houston in the ballpark.
 
Tenspro2002 said:
Do I want to know what WAB stands for?

In earnest, we've racked up a nice quartet of wins against second-weekend caliber teams. Take care of business against so-so Texas and that will wrap up a solid OOC performance with only one blemish.

We should have an inside track to a 1 seed. Michigan, Arizona, Duke are ahead of us. Purdue, ISU, maybe Houston in the ballpark.
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Wins Above Bubble. Measures how an average bubble team would perform against your schedule (factoring in opponent strength measured by NET and game location), and how many of those games you actually won, and the difference is your rating. It's cumulative over the season, so a true cutoff bubble team would end around 0.0, and the elite records against tough schedules end up in double digits (we were #1 in the country at 11.2 on selection sunday in 2024).

It doesn't factor your own scoring margin into your rating at all, only win/loss.
 
BFieldHusky said:
Just as an FYI, Lunardi has us as a 2 seed in the east. Playing opening round in Philly. Duke is the 1 seed.

Interestingly, he had Seton Hall and Villanova as two of his last four in. And Butler was his first team out of the field.
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Must be nice to get paid to do something so pointless
 
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