Megan Walker Tests Positive for COVID

[WestsideWaltz]

Rudy Gobert, young and in peak physical condition said his sense of smell has still not fully returned.

 

[Watchdog]

We're probably under-reporting cases by 10x at least. Former CDC director I believe said 1 in 150 have/had it..Thats a big number. Thank god the mortality rate is lower than first feared.

You say we're probably under reporting by 10X at least. The reported % looks correct to me. It's the person you're quoting as having said 1 in 150 have it that's wrong.

We've tested about 40,000,000 people and a little over 3,311,000 tests were positive. That's about 7.5%.

1 of 150 equates to 0.7%, which is about 10% of what's actually being reported.

That seems to indicate we're reporting the correct number but also my indicate why the person you're quoting is the "former" Director.

 

[j66kicker]

You say we're probably under reporting by 10X at least. The reported % looks correct to me. It's the person you're quoting as having said 1 in 150 have it that's wrong.

We've tested about 40,000,000 people and a little over 3,311,000 tests were positive. That's about 7.5%.

1 of 150 equates to 0.7%, which is about 10% of what's actually being reported.

That seems to indicate we're reporting the correct number but also my indicate why the person you're quoting is the "former" Director.

The portion of the population which has it ("1 in 150 have it") is a lot different than the portion of those tested who test positive ("3.3m out of 40m tested tested positive").

FWIW 1/150 (= .67%) is a little less than 3.3 mil/328 mil USA population (=1.0%) but in the same ballpark. So if the total positive tests represent 67% of the total cases currently active, then the "1/150 have it" would be spot on.

No way to say exactly, but the 1/150 is certainly plausible.

 

[eebmg]

The portion of the population which has it ("1 in 150 have it") is a lot different than the portion of those tested who test positive ("3.3m out of 40m tested tested positive").

FWIW 1/150 (= .67%) is a little less than 3.3 mil/328 mil USA population (=1.0%) but in the same ballpark. So if the total positive tests represent 67% of the total cases currently active, then the "1/150 have it" would be spot on.

No way to say exactly, but the 1/150 is certainly plausible.

I think the way to think about it is that the 1% is too low an estimate and the 7.5% is too high

Positive tests / Total Population is certainly an underestimate since there must be positives missed by those who simply have not tested.

Positive tests / Tests taken is certainly an overestimate since most of the people who take the test have some reasons (symptoms or some contact with a person who tested positive ) so the population sample is biased towards a higher probability of positive in comparison to the entire population.

 

[MSGRET]

I had a friend that tested negative with swab test, but when he had blood tests done for an upcoming procedure at the VA he had the anti bodies in his system even though the swab was done the same day as the blood was drawn. VA said that he was not at risk, but they did delay his operation until just recently, after he had self quarantined for 21 days to make sure that he was not a risk to others.