I think it’s a better tour without Froome.
With Froome, this is Ineos towing him around France letting him pick and choose the two or three spots where he’d put the race to bed.
Without him, it’s still probably Ineos’ to lose, but at least it’s been entertaining.
I don’t think Alaphilippe can win - he’s been amazing, but he’s not the guy who is going to gain time in the long climbs this week and his team isn’t going to be of any use to him. If Thomas had Alaphilippe’s team, he’d be gone already.
If I’m ranking their odds right now...
1) Pinot
2) Thomas
3) Bernal
4) Alaphillipe
5) Kruijswijk.
I think the winner almost certainly comes from the top two. I would be surprised, but not shocked if Bernal won. I would put Alaphillipe and Kruijswijk in the very unlikely category and anyone else would be a complete shocker.