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Message: [QUOTE="Patrick79, post: 4730095, member: 12829"] Guess this shows how many unknowns there are about where things are going. My analysis on that move to the ACC is: [LIST] [*][B]It's break-even[/B]: Even after the 6 years, we still have to consider interest and other fees with planning and the transition. It's probably not all that lucrative for Uconn to switch. [*][B]Sports is break-even at best, but may actually decline[/B]: I don't think BBall will be better - we're already recruiting top notch and fan interest won't be higher in the ACC, even w/ Duke and UNC. I think Uconn fans are going to be more excited to play at MSG and be a part of the BE's trajectory which is heating up. In Fball: BC, Cuse, Pitt, Lville, WVU, Rutgers didn't do better with a switch to the ACC (and B12 and B10), so I don't think you can automatically count on Uconn doing better. [*][B]Foot in the door is = handcuffs[/B]: With a GOR, we'll be on equal footing with every ACC team in a decade when the SEC and B10 come to fill their spots. That's not favorable to us since we'll be competing with FSU, Miami, Clemson, UNC, Duke, etc. In other words, we'd need to bank on the ACC holding together which I just don't think can happen given the distribution of revenue. Of course, this is the x-factor. On the other hand, by remaining where we are, we are essentially the most attractive option for conferences for the next decade--the other teams (in the ACC) are off the market for the most part. [/LIST] I legit believe that the end game for us is probably a 1) re-organized ACC (the left-overs combined with BE), followed by 2) an expanded B12, 3) staying where we are, 4) the ACC as it looks today or 5) B10 (unlikely but could happen depending on how things shift/develop). I'm not seeing the need to lock ourselves into the ACC for break-even revenue while taking ourselves off the market for better options. [/QUOTE]

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