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If people are right that there will be a D4 of P5 conferences and if being part of a controlling voting bloc is critical to the conferences (so much so that jockeying over a 60% vs 67% voting standard is regarded as important), then it's important to these conferences to have friends. The SEC, ACC, and B12 together might be a controlling voting bloc, and all might be mad at the B1G if they triggered a realignment war that damaged all three conferences. There could be blowback. Kentucky would bring in no more, or barely more, money to the B1G than UConn or Kansas or Missouri. They have more to lose than gain by taking Kentucky (pissing off three conferences) vs UConn (pissing off no one). Let's say that tomorrow The B1G poached Mizzou from The SEC. Suddenly the SEC is a wounded animal with no good options outside of the ACC or Big 12 to get back to an even number. If they don't want to play at an uneven number for decade, or take a program below their current standards, they would be forced to target the conferences to the East and West of them. At that point if you are The SEC making this move you might as well get all the schools you want, and try to lock things up with your own GOR/Buyouts. If this occurred wouldn't The ACC or Big 12 be angrier at the SEC than The B1G?
I don't think the B1G is in a rush, they would prefer to wait for the GoR in B12 and ACC to approach expiration and see where things stand. My prediction: They want to wait until 2025 or so, then take the best available 2 from the group of UConn, Virginia or Virginia Tech, Kentucky, Missouri, and Kansas. If the ACC or B12 breaks up, then they take 4 or 6 with 2 or 4 from the first group plus either Oklahoma & Texas or UNC & Ga Tech depending on which conference falls.In a perfect world sure, but we don't live in a perfect world. We live in a greedy world where all of these conferences are trying to make the most money possible. With The Tier 1/2 Deals on the horizon for The B1G there is definitely motivation to get things done sooner than later.
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