Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 2039280, member: 1329"] If you want to make the F4 as a double digit seed, 11 is the seed to be. You avoid the 1 until E8, which gives maximum upset time. You get an average team as a 6 which you have decent odds to upset (same rate as 12s over 5s), then the 3, and 11s have beaten 3s at roughly the same rate that 12s beat 4s. But they've beaten the next opponent (usually 2) 6 times more often than the 12 has theirs (usually 1). The 1 has ~70% chance to be there in that round for the 12, while 2 is only 47%. Much better odds for a weaker team. The 12 has never made the F4, while 11 has 3 times. [/QUOTE]