Kenpom #18!

[Palatine]

If you block a lot shots, you also change a lot of shots. There is no stat on changed shots (or perhaps just no way to measure it). Also since shot blocking tends to happen close to the basket it means the opponents shoot more shots from further away. Shots closer to the basket are easier than shots from further away.

So the true effectiveness of shot blocking may not show up in the box score. I suppose, one could look at the number of shots blocked in a game --or the percentage of shots blocked-- and compare it the shooting percent of the opponent. If there is a correlation that shows more shots blocked lowers shooting percentages, that might be a way to quantify the impact of shot blocking.

 

[August_West]

Syracuse down to 83(222 defensively lol)after getting embarrassed on National TV again.

Boeheim left in his starters in a 30 point game in final 2 minutes to make it a 20 point “ respectable” loss against duke walk ons. . I don’t want him to ever leave , and in fact think he and juli should have another kid or two. The best was watching the Juli Boeheim interview during live action down 30 and her talking how magical this season is with Jim and the kids together.

I wouldn’t want to be a Cuse fan right now. Could you imagine if Dan Hurley sacrificed the season to play his sons? This board would apoplectic. But it’s fantastic being a cuse hater

 

[pj]

If you block a lot shots, you also change a lot of shots. There is no stat on changed shots (or perhaps just no way to measure it). Also since shot blocking tends to happen close to the basket it means the opponents shoot more shots from further away. Shots closer to the basket are easier than shots from further away.

So the true effectiveness of shot blocking may not show up in the box score. I suppose, one could look at the number of shots blocked in a game --or the percentage of shots blocked-- and compare it the shooting percent of the opponent. If there is a correlation that shows more shots blocked lowers shooting percentages, that might be a way to quantify the impact of shot blocking.

Altered shots and shots from farther away would show up in opponents' shooting percentage.

UConn is #18 in field goal percentage defense (NCAA College Men's Basketball DI current team Stats | NCAA.com) and #2 in blocked shots per game (NCAA College Men's Basketball DI current team Stats | NCAA.com), after Auburn. These two ranks are correlated.

There have been efforts to quantify the correlation of shot block rate with field goal percentage defense, e.g. Evaluating the impact of the blocked shot. On that analysis, it doesn't look like shot blocking affects shooting much other than the shots which are blocked.

 

[ClifSpliffy]

last year, we averaged around 72 points per game.
this year, we average around 80 points per game.
80 is more than 72, a lot more.
call it, measure it, data death it to the max, whatever u will.
80 is still more than 72, a lot more.
progress.

 

[Palatine]

Thanks for the link. It is interesting. Using their methodology "a single blocked shot is worth about 0.7 points (give or take a quarter of a point) in the final point margin for a game."

However, I don't see how they can conclude that shot blocking doesn't affect shots that are not blocked. Watching games you can see that sometimes it even affects whether shots are taken. A player will go inside than decide to take the ball back outside, or pass it outside, if he is intimidated by the shot blocker.

Which is why, even with their conclusion, it is hard to calculate the value.

 

[ucp990411]

12 seed

NIT 12 seed sounds about right, but they
need to finish .500 or better

 

[ToolzieFan]

So funny that offensive rebounding is now a big strength. We used to go games without grabbing an offensive board in our AAC days.

Credit has to go to Tom Moore. Here are the offensive rebounding percentages for teams he has coached, with the national rank in parenthesis, all from KenPom.

UConn
2022 37.9 (6)
2021 37.4 (4)
2020 34.1 (25)
2019 32.3 (54)

URI
2018 31.0 (99)

Quinnipiac
2017 34.1 (39)
2016 38.4 (9)
2015 42.1 (2)
2014 42.3 (1)
2013 41.1 (3)
2012 42.1 (1)
2011 39.9 (5)
2010 40.6 (3)
2009 40.0 (6)
2008 32.9 (75)

UConn
2007 40.5 (4)
2006 41.6 (3)
2005 41.7 (2)
2004 40.8 (3)
2003 40.7 (3)
2002 39.7 (18)
2001 43.2 (2)
2000 42.0 (8)
1999 41.1 (17)
1998 39.9 (33)
1997 37.4 (91)

 

[Tenspro2002]

Credit has to go to Tom Moore. Here are the offensive rebounding percentages for teams he has coached, with the national rank in parenthesis, all from KenPom.

UConn
2022 37.9 (6)
2021 37.4 (4)
2020 34.1 (25)
2019 32.3 (54)

URI
2018 31.0 (99)

Quinnipiac
2017 34.1 (39)
2016 38.4 (9)
2015 42.1 (2)
2014 42.3 (1)
2013 41.1 (3)
2012 42.1 (1)
2011 39.9 (5)
2010 40.6 (3)
2009 40.0 (6)
2008 32.9 (75)

UConn
2007 40.5 (4)
2006 41.6 (3)
2005 41.7 (2)
2004 40.8 (3)
2003 40.7 (3)
2002 39.7 (18)
2001 43.2 (2)
2000 42.0 (8)
1999 41.1 (17)
1998 39.9 (33)
1997 37.4 (91)

Pretty amazing that last year and 1997 had the same O-Reb rate (37.4%), but last year we were #4 in the country and 1997 was #91.

Really shows how the game has changed.

 

[husky429]

Credit has to go to Tom Moore. Here are the offensive rebounding percentages for teams he has coached, with the national rank in parenthesis, all from KenPom.

UConn
2022 37.9 (6)
2021 37.4 (4)
2020 34.1 (25)
2019 32.3 (54)

URI
2018 31.0 (99)

Quinnipiac
2017 34.1 (39)
2016 38.4 (9)
2015 42.1 (2)
2014 42.3 (1)
2013 41.1 (3)
2012 42.1 (1)
2011 39.9 (5)
2010 40.6 (3)
2009 40.0 (6)
2008 32.9 (75)

UConn
2007 40.5 (4)
2006 41.6 (3)
2005 41.7 (2)
2004 40.8 (3)
2003 40.7 (3)
2002 39.7 (18)
2001 43.2 (2)
2000 42.0 (8)
1999 41.1 (17)
1998 39.9 (33)
1997 37.4 (91)

@UConnStats Has mentioned this before too. The guy can coach. He doesn't have the big name hype as a recruiter, but I would bet a lot of our recent skill development has a lot to do with Tom.