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Message: [QUOTE="tzznandrew, post: 3895661, member: 168"] I don't think in evaluating four separate games—each with its unique matchups—you necessarily have to see each of these games as a coin flip and therefore try to calculate some odds. But further, none of the individual takes is unreasonable or surprising. Every single one of those picks is fair, even if they don't happen. I doubt he's thinking much about some deep personal bias against the Big East when he's picking 67 games. Really, I think the issue is that the BE has three games along the 5/12 line. Experts always like to pick 1 or 2—but never more than 2—of those 12 seeds. Picking high performing regular season mid-majors over lower-performing high majors who got hot makes a lot of sense. So in that sense really the only game off that line is 7/10 matchups, and that's always a coinflip (10s win about 40% of the time). [/QUOTE]