I am very curious to see the reaction in 2024 after UConn posts its third consecutive 9-3 record in football and they are still left out of the P5. The writing is on the wall for any school caught in the G5 and it isn't pretty. Anyone who doesn't recognize that UConn will never be invited to s P4 conference is in denial. The networks will do exactly the same thing to the remaining Big 12 schools as it did to UConn and Cincy. The model has been set.
But I think the real issue will be the devaluation of live content. Ratings in 2024 will be far worse than they are today. The more relevant question becomes not if UConn will get invited but will the average sports fan, demo 18-35, even care. My guess is that the people watching sports at home will be an aging viewer on a limited budget and one advertisers won't pay a premium for. The day of the 6.00 carriage fee will be long gone. So what exactly will these networks bid on?
To me, while the kettle is still lukewarm I absolutely would like UConn and the state of CT to take a stand. Go after ESPN and the tax credits. Go after the NCAA and let Congress decide if these schools who don't pay their athletes, exclude flagship universities from admittance, but make 35-50 million a year on sports revenue are really worthy of tax exempt and non profit status. I agree that Congress would never force the P4 to accept schools like UConn but with the baby boomers retiring, generation x approaching 50, and the social security trust fund almost entirely gone, I do think they would generate enough support to change the p4 tax status. Yes, the college sports landscape has started to crumble. Thank ESPN with all their greed and arrogance on your way out.