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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 3472813, member: 1329"] Preventing large gatherings of people IS being sensible. I agree travel should be more of a personal decision until the disease has ramped up even more. A German virus expert who discovered the initial SARS-CoV and who has developed a test for COVID-19 [URL='https://www.sueddeutsche.de/gesundheit/krankheiten-experte-erwartet-60-bis-70-prozent-infizierte-in-deutschland-dpa.urn-newsml-dpa-com-20090101-200228-99-108884']thinks it will infect 60-70% of the German population in a year or two[/URL]. If those same numbers were to be accurate for the whole world, a simplistic assumption to be sure, and presuming the per case fatality rates were mostly accurate and sustained through increased attention being paid to the disease, that would mean 35 million deaths of people aged 50+ in a year or two. He says: [/QUOTE]