I've thought about this question a lot over the past few years so I'm glad it's been asked. I voted "on schedule". These last two years, plus the tail-end of the 2019-2020 season, showed us just how bad the Ollie era was in terms of recruiting, coaching and talent. It hasn't always been pretty, but I think the benchmark last year was getting back to the tournament and not losing our footing in the Big East, with any tourney wins being extra credit. Check that box.
This year, IMO, the benchmark is not a Championship/FF/E8, etc. I think it's probably one tourney win at a minimum and the ceiling may be Sweet 16, but it's early still and I'm traditionally more pessimistic. What I really want to see is us to be able to close out games against top BE brass (Nova, Creighton, etc.) plus the OOC schedule. So far, we've seen hints of success in that regard but it's not consistent. If we do that, I vote "ahead of schedule" but I'd say we're in between those two areas, with recruiting being the skew to the upside.