You're absolutely captured by the moment. You think those are the top 10 programs and it will be damn hard for any other schools to break into your top 10 any time soon.
It's always been about coaching and talent, it's always meant everything.
I think it will be really hard for most programs to break into being a NC contender, not being a top ten program. You tell me which coaches today you think can win a title this year?
Golden
Mays
Hurley
Scheyer is building great rosters, but shows a lack of in game execution
Oates has a very distinct system that has shown to work when he has the right mix of players
Devries - worth watching in year 2
Sampson has gotten close, but was based on a very different way of roster building - he just tried a team in the new format, and it wasn't like an old Sampson team at all. His team offense stinks, has always won by nurturing dogged defense.
Pitino hasn't shown an ability to win a OOC game. He is trending in the right direction.
Coach player attraction, coach roster building * NIL. Get the right players coming to you for the right reasons, with a great system = NC contender. I don't care about the name on the jersey. It's shown not to matter (UNC, Kansas, Kentucky).
I'm begto think that you have the long term memory of a fruit fly.
Four of the schools you're hanging your hat on never won a title, one hasn't been to a final four since before UConn hired Jim Calhoun and a school that you dismissed as incapable (Kansas) won a title far more recently than one near the top of your list (Duke).
Yes, NIL has changed quite a few things, but it is very clear that spending money alone will not guarantee any results. We've reached a point where the biggest spenders are putting together a new jigsaw puzzle each year and guessing at how the pieces will fit. I'm very confident that this puts us at an advantage with our coach and culture while it puts puts the bulk of the spenders (St John's) at a disadvantage.
Prior to the national title game I was of the belief that Michigan would win eight out of ten games against us. After the game, I was seeing them winning five at best, and that would be with the disparity in calls.
I'm not as confident as you are that Michigan will win another during the next couple of seasons and I'm not sure St John's is going to get to where Rick wants Repole to believe he can take them.
I'm starting to think you don't recognize how much this sport has changed in just the last 2-3 years with NIL. It takes a player attractive coach and a strong roster strategist. I think that list is very short.
What programs did 20 years ago doesn't apply, at all, today. i honestly don't care much about the program name as much as I do the coach, up until the program doesn't provide competitive NIL.
No spending money alone will not win it, or else Pope would be in a great spot. Do you think Kelsey can win a title - the guy has won two tourney games in his life. Devries, Barnes and Kelsey have spent, but not quite confident in Kelsey. I do think Devries is someone to watch.