If the tie beaker for teams that have split is % wins against higher seeded teams (as I think it was in the old BE) and if we win out, then I believe we pass Temple for 4th.
Since Cincy has won both games with SMU and will play TLSA only once, I think they would have to lose both of their last 2 games (incl MEM at home) for us to pass them outright.
Do I have this right? I agree we would probably have to win the AAC tourney to get to the dance - but finishing 3rd at least puts us in the bubble conversation if we were to lose in the ACC final. Finishing 3rd also means we might avoid SMU until that final tourney game (assuming SMU beats TLSA at home next weekend to cling the 1 seed).
Since Cincy has won both games with SMU and will play TLSA only once, I think they would have to lose both of their last 2 games (incl MEM at home) for us to pass them outright.
Do I have this right? I agree we would probably have to win the AAC tourney to get to the dance - but finishing 3rd at least puts us in the bubble conversation if we were to lose in the ACC final. Finishing 3rd also means we might avoid SMU until that final tourney game (assuming SMU beats TLSA at home next weekend to cling the 1 seed).