UCweCONN
Former Poster
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
- Messages
- 3,875
- Reaction Score
- 6,606
You could really argue that if Kemba had not carried us on the miraculous run through the BE and NCAA tournaments last season, that the program is in decline. It doesn't translate well to posting here but I broke Jim Calhoun's time at UCONN into 5 year segments starting with the season (regular season D1 wins only). As you can see, the team's regular season winning percentage the past 5 years is similar to Calhoun's first 5 years and regular season losses are nearly averaging double digits.
If you take the last 3 years only, this has been the worst stretch of JC's career from a regular season point of view. I don't know how much of this is the result of the uncertainty over JC's health and future (which started in 2009) but there has been a noticeable drop-off.
Some will say that regular season losses are not the key indicator of a program's health but I say it is a big factor because it impacts you getting into the NCAA's and your seeding if you manage to get there. The higher your seeding the better your team's chance of making a deep tourney run. As other posters have pointed out, top programs are relevant and in the discussion as a championship contenders every year.
In 1999 and 2004, we were one of the top couple teams mentioned and in contention for a title all year so it was no shock when we won. Last year, we really caught lightning in a bottle and rode Kemba Walker to an unexpected championship. You could make an argument that if we had lost early in the BE tourney last year, there was a chance (maybe a low chance) that we would have missed the NCAA tourney. With that in mind, we missed it in 2009-10 and could very likely miss it this year (and next year...). This is why I say thank God for last year. Because of that crazy run, we still have the 2011 National Championship to entice recruits with even though the program is going through a rough time. Without last year's improbable run where would we be as a program? Looking at four staight years missing the NCAA tournament?
With all of the looming issues concerning our eligibility for next year's NCAA tourney, JC's coaching future, the impact on recruiting etc. this is a precarious time for the program.
We need some clarity very soon as far as the future of the program as the uncertainty is killing us at a time we can least afford it. Clearly George Blaney is not the future. It also seems like we are taking shots from everywhere now, be it the NCAA or the media. The worst part is hearing game announcers ridiculing the team's situation and poor play on the court. I never thought I'd see a Jim Calhoun team being the subject of ridicule and this for me has been the worst part of this season.
***Those Ray Allen years of 1993-96 were pretty impressive (we just ran into some tough tourney matchups or we might have won a championship or two).
Regular Season D1 Only W L Avr Wins 5 Year Period Avr Losses 5 Year Period Avr Winning % 5 year Period
1986-87 9 18
1987-88 13 13
1988-89 16 11
1989-90 25 5 18 9 67%
1990-91 18 9
1991-92 19 8
1992-93 15 11
1993-94 26 3
1994-95 23 3 21 6 78%
1995-96 27 2
1996-97 14 13
1997-98 26 4
1998-99 25 2
1999-00 21 8 22 6 79%
2000-01 19 10
2001-02 21 6
2002-03 19 8
2003-04 24 6
2004-05 21 6 22 7 76%
2005-06 26 2
2006-07 18 13
2007-08 24 7
2008-09 27 3
2009-10 17 14 21 9 70%
2010-11 21 9
2011-12 16 10
If you take the last 3 years only, this has been the worst stretch of JC's career from a regular season point of view. I don't know how much of this is the result of the uncertainty over JC's health and future (which started in 2009) but there has been a noticeable drop-off.
Some will say that regular season losses are not the key indicator of a program's health but I say it is a big factor because it impacts you getting into the NCAA's and your seeding if you manage to get there. The higher your seeding the better your team's chance of making a deep tourney run. As other posters have pointed out, top programs are relevant and in the discussion as a championship contenders every year.
In 1999 and 2004, we were one of the top couple teams mentioned and in contention for a title all year so it was no shock when we won. Last year, we really caught lightning in a bottle and rode Kemba Walker to an unexpected championship. You could make an argument that if we had lost early in the BE tourney last year, there was a chance (maybe a low chance) that we would have missed the NCAA tourney. With that in mind, we missed it in 2009-10 and could very likely miss it this year (and next year...). This is why I say thank God for last year. Because of that crazy run, we still have the 2011 National Championship to entice recruits with even though the program is going through a rough time. Without last year's improbable run where would we be as a program? Looking at four staight years missing the NCAA tournament?
With all of the looming issues concerning our eligibility for next year's NCAA tourney, JC's coaching future, the impact on recruiting etc. this is a precarious time for the program.
We need some clarity very soon as far as the future of the program as the uncertainty is killing us at a time we can least afford it. Clearly George Blaney is not the future. It also seems like we are taking shots from everywhere now, be it the NCAA or the media. The worst part is hearing game announcers ridiculing the team's situation and poor play on the court. I never thought I'd see a Jim Calhoun team being the subject of ridicule and this for me has been the worst part of this season.
***Those Ray Allen years of 1993-96 were pretty impressive (we just ran into some tough tourney matchups or we might have won a championship or two).
Regular Season D1 Only W L Avr Wins 5 Year Period Avr Losses 5 Year Period Avr Winning % 5 year Period
1986-87 9 18
1987-88 13 13
1988-89 16 11
1989-90 25 5 18 9 67%
1990-91 18 9
1991-92 19 8
1992-93 15 11
1993-94 26 3
1994-95 23 3 21 6 78%
1995-96 27 2
1996-97 14 13
1997-98 26 4
1998-99 25 2
1999-00 21 8 22 6 79%
2000-01 19 10
2001-02 21 6
2002-03 19 8
2003-04 24 6
2004-05 21 6 22 7 76%
2005-06 26 2
2006-07 18 13
2007-08 24 7
2008-09 27 3
2009-10 17 14 21 9 70%
2010-11 21 9
2011-12 16 10