How many wins would it take for Connecticut to be in the CFP discussion? | The Boneyard

How many wins would it take for Connecticut to be in the CFP discussion?

CL82

CL82

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Sjsu Theres A Chance GIF by San Jose State Spartans
 
Not only would we need to go undefeated, we would need a similar scenario to this past season where there are very few P-2 schools with two or fewer losses.

We may even need to have an inordinate number of P level schools with four or more losses as (shy of our having a few wins over ranked opponents) a three loss P level school would likely be viewed as having had a better resume than us, even with no losses.

One detriment to being independent under this set of rules is that our slot in the CFP (if we were to be deserving) would be at the expense of a P level school making the playoffs. The highest rated G level conference champ is guaranteed a spot so our making it would put two G schools in the playoffs.
 
I think you are underestimating us. Not saying we would be selected but a lot would depend on the scenario. If we were 12-0 and, let’s say Syracuse won the ACC or got to their championship game even. We’d absolutely be in the discussion. Maybe even at 11-1 depending on who the 1 loss was. Just to be clear, I don’t expect the Orange to win the ACC nor us to be 12-0. But if we were and they were we’d absolutely be under consideration.
 
FfldCntyFan said:
One detriment to being independent under this set of rules is that our slot in the CFP (if we were to be deserving) would be at the expense of a P level school making the playoffs. The highest rated G level conference champ is guaranteed a spot so our making it would put two G schools in the playoffs.
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True - if a team isn’t P4, the only realistic shot is getting the automatic bid as the highest rated G5 conference champion.
 
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I think you are underestimating us. Not saying we would be selected but a lot would depend on the scenario. If we were 12-0 and, let’s say Syracuse won the ACC or got to their championship game even. We’d absolutely be in the discussion.
 
to see rutgers in the 9 win tier makes me laugh my face off.
then i cry.

why oh why did the old big east have to fold.
 
12-0.

Would not be surprised to see an 11-1 Boise State in over us, especially if their only loss is Notre Dame. You really need Notre Dame to just tank, then chaos the rest of the way. Also a 12-1 AAC conference champ might also get in over us if it’s Tulane, Memphis, Army, or Navy.

It’s not something to think about right now.
 
We don’t even get a check from the CFP. I don’t think they are obligated to take us even if we win a zillion games.
 
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FfldCntyFan said:
Not only would we need to go undefeated, we would need a similar scenario to this past season where there are very few P-2 schools with two or fewer losses.

We may even need to have an inordinate number of P level schools with four or more losses as (shy of our having a few wins over ranked opponents) a three loss P level school would likely be viewed as having had a better resume than us, even with no losses.

One detriment to being independent under this set of rules is that our slot in the CFP (if we were to be deserving) would be at the expense of a P level school making the playoffs. The highest rated G level conference champ is guaranteed a spot so our making it would put two G schools in the playoffs.
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With our schedule, we would have to blow everyone out. 12-0 isn't enough, even if there were a bunch of 4 loss teams. Now, if the average margin of victory was like 30 and no win was by less than 14 maybe then we'd be in the discussion
 
12-0 with all our P4 opponents in might do it. Not sure if that is even mathematically possible, but there it is.
 
RSTuthill said:
12-0 with all our P4 opponents in might do it. Not sure if that is even mathematically possible, but there it is.
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Hope that would get it done but I tend to doubt it.

I think more likely, they’ll only take the one automatic G5 conference champ - ever if that team’s ranked lower than 12-0 UConn as independent. And all the at large spots would go to a P2, Note Dame & maybe a couple 1 or 2 loss teams from the B12 or ACC.
 
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Never estimate the power of an underdog story. If we win every game this season, we will be in the CFP conversation, ESPN will host Gameday at the Rent before the Air Force game, and 30 for 30 will starting shooting B-roll around the football complex.
 
ZooCougar said:
We don’t even get a check from the CFP. I don’t think they are obligated to take us even if we win a zillion games.
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True, but if by some miracle the chips fall the right way, we go undefeated and land a spot, we don't have to split whatever our take is with anyone.
 
12 and 0, nothing less .... AND just about all the games have to be decisive victories
 
CTBasketball said:
It’s not something to think about right now.
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(i'm saying this with all respect and humor)

if not now, then when? when we're 5-3 and soundly out of any conversation?
i feel like this is the ONLY time to think about it lol... the sky's the limit in the summer!

CFP Championship 2026:
UConn 35
Ohio State 14

u heard it here first!
 
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FfldCntyFan said:
Not only would we need to go undefeated, we would need a similar scenario to this past season where there are very few P-2 schools with two or fewer losses.

We may even need to have an inordinate number of P level schools with four or more losses as (shy of our having a few wins over ranked opponents) a three loss P level school would likely be viewed as having had a better resume than us, even with no losses.

One detriment to being independent under this set of rules is that our slot in the CFP (if we were to be deserving) would be at the expense of a P level school making the playoffs. The highest rated G level conference champ is guaranteed a spot so our making it would put two G schools in the playoffs.
Expand ...

I don't think independents are considered for the G5 spot. We would fall under the Notre Dame rule. We'd need to be well within the top 10. Probably no lower than 7th.

They would do everything in their power to pick someone else. We'd need to go 12-0 and beat one of the other schools in the field, a conference champ or one of the near locks, and blow out everyone else. A close game against Buffalo would be enough of an excuse.
 
We don’t have enough money to get into the CFP, especially as an independent.
 
SubbaBub said:
I don't think independents are considered for the G5 spot. We would fall under the Notre Dame rule. We'd need to be well within the top 10. Probably no lower than 7th.

They would do everything in their power to pick someone else. We'd need to go 12-0 and beat one of the other schools in the field, a conference champ or one of the near locks, and blow out everyone else. A close game against Buffalo would be enough of an excuse.
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Then UConn has to CRUSH the P4's on its schedule and they have to be highly ranked. Bear in mind that we have no idea how this season is gonna turn out.
 
If we go 12-0 we would get a passing mention from the talking heads and finish top 20.
If we go 12-0 for two straight years, we would start getting buzz. We would not make the playoffs.
If we go 12-0 for three straight years we'd be knocking on the door and there would be outrage from some corners if we didn't get a shot.

This hole we've been trying to dig out of is pretty deep.
 
FfldCntyFan said:
Not only would we need to go undefeated, we would need a similar scenario to this past season where there are very few P-2 schools with two or fewer losses.

We may even need to have an inordinate number of P level schools with four or more losses as (shy of our having a few wins over ranked opponents) a three loss P level school would likely be viewed as having had a better resume than us, even with no losses.

One detriment to being independent under this set of rules is that our slot in the CFP (if we were to be deserving) would be at the expense of a P level school making the playoffs. The highest rated G level conference champ is guaranteed a spot so our making it would put two G schools in the playoffs.
Expand ...
I don't care to read the whole thread, but UConn would need to go undefeated for at least two straight seasons. Think UCF.
 
Jetskies said:
(i'm saying this with all respect and humor)

if not now, then when? when we're 5-3 and soundly out of any conversation?
i feel like this is the ONLY time to think about it lol... the sky's the limit in the summer!

CFP Championship 2026:
UConn 35
Ohio State 14

u heard it here first!
Expand ...
I need you to explain to me how a Jet fan can possibly be this optimistic.
 
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