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Message: [QUOTE="DefenseBB, post: 3410486, member: 7492"] We know the PAC12 is the best conference, we know the BigTen is the deepest. We know that SEC, ACC and Big12 are all down from previous years. We have seen more non-P5 schools get votes for the top 25 than usually do. I hope this transcends into more non-P5 schools getting bids. The statistics have 32 Auto-Bids to conference winners, leaving 32 "Open" bids. There are 7 conferences guaranteed to get 2 or more bids and another 7 conferences (Top 50 ranked) to get bids so 14 Conferences are in the top 50. 64 Slots minus 18 Conference winners not in the top 50 (32 auto minus these 14=18), leaves 46 bids available (14 top conferences plus 32 open). I looked at Massey and WarrenNolan RPI for the top 46 rankings with #46 being the cutoff (UConn is 3 Massey/4 WarrenNolan and is noted as 3/4). If a school makes one but not the other, I listed it on the bubble. I am curious about the Board's view. Here's my list [B]PAC12[/B]- 6 locks: Oregon 4/7; Stanford 6/6; UCLA 8/8; Oregon St 9/9; Arizona 18/43; ASU 21/27 [I]1 Bubble team [/I]Colorado 44/50 [B]Big Ten[/B]- 7 locks: Maryland 12/16; Northwestern 10/15; Iowa 16/5; Indiana 17/13; Rutgers 27/13; Purdue 35/25; Ohio St 42/29; [I]3 Bubble teams [/I]Nebraska 40/60; Michigan 43/54; Mich State 50/91 [B]ACC[/B]- 4 locks: Louisville 5/2; NC State 7/19; Florida State 20/18; Virginia Tech 29/28; [I]3 Bubble teams: North Carolina 30/57, Georgia Tech 32/47, Duke 49/42[/I] [B]SEC[/B]- 6 locks: South Carolina 2/1, Miss State 13/12, Kentucky 19/20. Texas A&M 22/17, LSU 26/24, Arkansas 33/44 [I]1 Bubble team[/I]: Tennessee 28/58 [B]Big 12[/B]- 5 locks: Baylor 1/11, West Virginia 31/40, TCU 34/26, Ok State 37/34, Texas 41/45 [I]2 Bubble teams[/I]: Iowa State 48/63, Oklahoma 51/32 [B]Big East[/B]-3 locks: DePaul 14/14, Marquette 36/36, Creighton 38/23 [I]1 Bubble team:[/I] St. John's 56/48 [B]Missouri Valley[/B]- 2 locks: Missouri State 25/3, Drake 39/35 [I]1 Bubble team: [/I]Northern Iowa 46/52 Add in UConn 3/4, Gonzaga 11/10, South Dakota 23/41, Princeton 15/21, Florida Gulf Coast 24/30, James Madison 45/39 and Central Michigan 47/22 as the additional 7 means 40 of the 46 are locks and leaves 6 other bids for the bubble teams plus these top 46 options Yale 71/46, Western Kentucky 75/31 and Old Dominion 59/37 (these last two assumes Rice 84/99 wins Conference USA). To recap the P5 have 28 locks using Massey and WarrenNolan plus 11 Bubble teams at this point of the conference season. Thoughts? [/QUOTE]

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