How many games will we win this year? | Page 2 | The Boneyard

How many games will we win this year?

How many games will we win this year?


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1) Maine (H)--W
2) Navy (A)--W
3) Virginia (H)--L
4) Syracuse (H)--W
5) Houston (A)--L
6) Cincy (H)--L
7) USF (A)--L
8) UCF (H)--W
9) ECU (A)--W
10) Temple (H)--W
11) BC (A)--W
12) Tulane (H)--W

My prediction: 8-4 (5-3).
 
I did not see the spring game (how was it not streamed and available on line in this day and age? A rant for another time). But I believe it was the 1's against the 2's. The stories and box score lead me to believe that the starters on both sides of the ball can do their jobs against the back ups. But that also tells me that the back ups need to make some big steps between now and kickoff Game 1.

To get 8+ wins in a real season, this team needs great depth at all key positions. I'm not sure they have it yet, particularly in the trenches and at QB. The ability to plug holes caused by injury is the difference between 5-6 wins and 8 or more wins.
 
1) Maine (H)--W
2) Navy (A)--W
3) Virginia (H)--L
4) Syracuse (H)--W
5) Houston (A)--L
6) Cincy (H)--L
7) USF (A)--L
8) UCF (H)--W
9) ECU (A)--W
10) Temple (H)--W
11) BC (A)--W
12) Tulane (H)--W

My prediction: 8-4 (5-3).

when is the last time we won 5 in a row?
 
1) Maine (H)--W
2) Navy (A)--L
3) Virginia (H)--W
4) Syracuse (H)--W
5) Houston (A)--L
6) Cincy (H)--W
7) USF (A)--L
8) UCF (H)--W
9) ECU (A)--W
10) Temple (H)--L
11) BC (A)--W
12) Tulane (H)--W

My floor expectation above: 8-4.

My ceiling expectation below: 10-2.

1) Maine (H)--W
2) Navy (A)--L
3) Virginia (H)--W
4) Syracuse (H)--W
5) Houston (A)--L
6) Cincy (H)--W
7) USF (A)--W
8) UCF (H)--W
9) ECU (A)--W
10) Temple (H)--W
11) BC (A)--W
12) Tulane (H)--W
 
Eight wins is a reasonable expectation. Navy and Temple would seem to be weaker teams than last's year's edition. BC is not expected to be much better than last year. If we can count on wins against, Maine, , UCF, and Tulane we only have to go 5-4 in the remaining 9 games. That seems to be very doable.
 
Clearly UConn is going to go 16-0. They're going to be so dominate on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball that the NFL invited them to play the team with the worst record in the pros to see if the national championship College team is as good as a really bad pro team. And we'll find out that unequivocally we are better.
 
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Frankly, I see us as one of the most improved teams in the country. We may not win every game but I don't see any game on our schedule we're not capable of winning. I wouldn't say that last year.
 
For the last two seasons, I've resisted posting a number in this thread, arguing that I just wanted them to play hard and look better. This year, though, I think the training wheels come off.

Should Wins (6): Maine, UVA, Syracuse, UCF, BC, Tulane;
Could Wins(3): Navy, ECU, Temple;
Tough to get Wins (3): Houston, Cincy, USF

Even if we drop one of the 'shoulds', 2 -4 in the rest gets us to 7-5.
 
with commentary

1) Maine (H)--W...enough said
2) Navy (A)--W...actually hoping the QB drop off is huge, but none of us knows
3) Virginia (H)--L...we will lose to one of the ACC teams(just how life works big picture) and it cannot be 'cuse or BC.
4) Syracuse (H)--W...See directly above
5) Houston (A)--L...sometimes revenge does matter.
6) Cincy (H)--L...we are 2-9 against them and lost the last 5. I'll pick a win after we have shown anything against them.
7) USF (A)--L...might be better than we think
8) UCF (H)--W...might be worse than we think (if possible)
9) ECU (A)--W...?????
10) Temple (H)--L...they might not be as good, but they beat us EASILY last year, did not look like they broke a sweat doing it, and the 27-3 score could have been much worse. Even if they are not as good, did the gap close that much?
11) BC (A)--W...once again, enough said
12) Tulane (H)--W...home win to wrap it up

My prediction: 7-5 (4-4)
 
1) Maine (H)--W
2) Navy (A)--W
3) Virginia (H)--W
4) Syracuse (H)--W
5) Houston (A)--W
6) Cincy (H)--W
7) USF (A)--W
8) UCF (H)--W
9) ECU (A)--W
10) Temple (H)--W
11) BC (A)--W
12) Tulane (H)--W
13) Houston (H)--W
14) Michigan (N)--W
15) Alabama (N)--W
 
8-4.

1) Maine (H)--W
2) Navy (A)--W
3) Virginia (H)--L
4) Syracuse (H)--W
5) Houston (A)--L
6) Cincy (H)--W
7) USF (A)--L
8) UCF (H)--W
9) ECU (A)--W
10) Temple (H)--L
11) BC (A)--W
12) Tulane (H)--W
 
Here's the comment/emoticon breakdown:

0-2 (Just drink yourself stupid during Bowls and watch basketball :mad:)
3-5 (Take a step back, ponder about who to fire :eek::()
6-8 (We're doing good! finally UConn Football is emerging again ;):cool:, but need a bowl to win to have the :D emoticon)
9-11 (YES! YES! YES!, we can do it! :D, bowl victory = Bob Diaco gets pay raise)
12-13 (We finally did it!) :D

I say we're going 7-5 this year with a rematch in St. Petersburg.
 
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9 or more wins this year and Diaco will be the hot coaching commodity among power 5 teams with an opening.
 
Improvement in football is not linear . If the team is improving think 9-10 wins. If it's not improving 6 again I don't think we could have gotten worse
 
1) Maine (H)--W
2) Navy (A)--W
3) Virginia (H)--W
4) Syracuse (H)--W
5) Houston (A)--L
6) Cincy (H)--L
7) USF (A)--W
8) UCF (H)--W
9) ECU (A)--L
10) Temple (H)--L
11) BC (A)--W
12) Tulane (H)--W
 
ESPN Power Index Prediction: Connecticut 2016 FPI - Huskies - ESPN

Makes good sense to me. We're favored in 5 games (albeit very slightly against Navy); we're dogs by 2 points or less in 4 games; and close to a TD dog in 3 games.

Before folks think being a dog at BC is crazy ask yourself this question, what would that defense (which returns this season) have done to our offense last season? If they have any type of offense this season that game is a slug fest.
 
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Maine W
Navy W
Virginia L
SyracuseW
Houston L
Cincy L
USF L
UCF W
ECU W
Temple L
BCU W
Tulane W

7 wins 5 losses realistically, but I think we have one surprise win in the team between the USF and Temple game. I am surprised that USF is ranked so high in the polls.
 
I'm not sure I follow, but is that saying BC is out third toughest opponent next year?
They have them ranked higher than UVA, Cuse and Navy. Not that I agree, but BC does get a bunch back from injury including their best RB, transfer in at QB and if the Uconn logic of the OL being 1 year older and better is carried forward to BC, they have that too. I find it hard to believe in a quantum leap forward fro BC after last season but apparent ESPN does.
 
They have them ranked higher than UVA, Cuse and Navy. Not that I agree, but BC does get a bunch back from injury including their best RB, transfer in at QB and if the Uconn logic of the OL being 1 year older and better is carried forward to BC, they have that too. I find it hard to believe in a quantum leap forward fro BC after last season but apparent ESPN does.

So the offense that scored 6 point, SIX, at it's spring game with normal scoring, it's going to some how find a way to beat our defense which will be arguably just as good as theirs? And this is why I stopped watching or reading ESPN.
 
So the offense that scored 6 point, SIX, at it's spring game with normal scoring, it's going to some how find a way to beat our defense which will be arguably just as good as theirs? And this is why I stopped watching or reading ESPN.
Well they are a P5 doncha know. That's worth a touchdown in mouseville.
 
So the offense that scored 6 point, SIX, at it's spring game with normal scoring, it's going to some how find a way to beat our defense which will be arguably just as good as theirs? And this is why I stopped watching or reading ESPN.
I didn't say I agreed. But is Uconn's O which was the 1's against the 2's as good as it looked in the spring game? I'm not convinced of that either. Spring games mean nothing (Bama's score was 7-3).
 
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That ESPN assessment is exactly what we should want them to think. Defying expectations will be a lot more fun than simply meeting them.
 
Not sure about that FPI stuff but if our win total O/U = 5, BET THE HOUSE on the over!! #indiacowetrust
 
Not sure about that FPI stuff but if our win total O/U = 5, BET THE HOUSE on the over!! #indiacowetrust
How about 1.8 % chance to win the conference? That is worth putting a few bucks on in Vegas.
 
ESPN's statistics stuff is usually pretty dumb. Anything that gives us a 25% chance of beating BC and 50% chance of beating Cincy (who we literally ALWAYS lose to) I'm not going to pay much attention to
 
I think the craziest part of this is that we have the same chance of beating USF as we do of beating Houston????

Yeah, when i saw the USF projection, I stopped reading. I don't buy into the hype there at all.
 
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