SCGamecock - really nice post. Not sure about the ND prediction, but I agree with much of what you say. I think Geno mentioned something like the following:
In the women's game, if you can put together a class like Stewart, Moriah, and Morgan and then surround them with other good players, and coach them well you will dominate for 3-4 years. You could do the same on the men's side if you could keep them all together for 4 years, but with the NBA calling, it never happens any more.
I would add:
1. Coaching - it is spottier in WCBB than at other levels so there are fewer coaches who have the ability to reach consistency regardless of their ability to land great players - Geno, Muffet, Tara, and Gunter/Chatman are the only coaches to string together 5 final fours in a row which represents two completely different teams between the first and last. Others like Kim and Brenda and even Pat have only been able to get to when they had a specific group of great players.
2. ND may be the most impressive in that they have not consistently gotten the top players - Muffet has recruited very well but she hasn't gotten quite as many clearly outstanding HS players - she has been construction teams with mostly 5-30 ranked players who buy into her system and play tough.
3. Baylor and TX seem to be in a golden period as far as recruiting (following on the heels of SC) and they should be challenging consistently for the next 4 years. Some of the Pac also seem to be stringing together interesting classes. Whether the coaching and balance of the recruiting will match the talent being accumulated is yet to be seen.
4. I actually think the SEC might be a detriment to development of dominant teams - the style of play and the refereeing of games does not help teams develop well rounded games. There is talent and the league is balanced down through maybe #10, but the offenses and defenses are not creative enough to really challenge the good teams and expose weaknesses that need to be corrected. The same might be true for the Pac with a slight variation - not enough focus on defensive intensity.
5. While developing great RPI numbers by playing creatively terrible OOC schedules may help a league get teams into the NCAA and to better seedings, I think it really hurts overall development of individual teams - Maryland this year probably didn't get as much done as they should have early in the season because they were flattered by the ease with which they ran through a dreadful OOC. The same has been true for a number of other teams through the years. Coaches and players need challenges and even losses early to really know what they have and what they need to work on.