(Houston -2) Vegas line | The Boneyard

(Houston -2) Vegas line

Joined
Sep 6, 2011
Messages
13,338
Reaction Score
72,550
Last Houston thread was talking about Oswald's shooting record, so let's talk about UConn's chances today.

O/u 133. They adjusted the KenPom o/u down a point, which is wild to me. We've been in the mid 140s since Akok went down, so this is a pretty jarring line. But Houston has been insanely good on defense and often has had games be in the high 50s to low 60s possessions. In conference play, they're at 0.90 points per possession allowed. We're at 0.95 on D since Akok went down, while scoring 1.12. Houston is scoring 1.05.

This should be a tight game, and the old "when in doubt take the team at home against a top 25 team" applies. Huskies moneyline +112 applies.
 
Joined
Sep 6, 2011
Messages
13,338
Reaction Score
72,550
Draftkings has SMU at +2500 to win the AAC tournament in Fort Werth. This is bonkers value. I have them around 10% chance to win the tournament.

UConn is also really good value at +4000, but depth concerns are probably suppressing the odds, which is a reasonable thing.

I bet SMU at +1600 and UConn at +3000 previously, and both their odds have gotten considerably better (despite UConn winning a couple games in a row). I think this is partially Houston getting stronger. If we think UConn will beat Houston tonight, then those odds will shift after the game.

Jump on these with some small wagers now if you're able.
 

Online statistics

Members online
241
Guests online
2,241
Total visitors
2,482

Forum statistics

Threads
161,028
Messages
4,248,169
Members
10,095
Latest member
DRF
.
Top Bottom