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Good ESPN Article! (Merged)

HuskyNan

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Plebe

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From the article:

36.9%: Percentage of minutes played by UConn's freshmen​

Why it matters: The third-highest mark for the Huskies over the last 25 seasons, UConn has had to look to its freshmen even more than expected due to a slew of injuries that have sidelined Azzi Fudd, Caroline Ducharme and now Aubrey Griffin. The continued development of that class will be paramount to support the tandem of Paige Bueckers and Aaliyah Edwards if the Huskies want to make a deep March run.
 

Centerstream

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This caught my eye from the article

37.2%: LSU's opponent average win percentage, in the bottom 5 percentile in the country​

I'm surprised that it is this high. :eek::rolleyes:

Now back to posting about Q.
 
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Just noticed this odd stat in the Clark writeup on usage:

"Her effective field goal percentage, most impressively, rests at a personal-best of 60%."

I've never seen this one before. I'm guessing -- if it's not just an error -- it might mean something like taking total points divided by fg attempts without distinguishing 2s and 3s, but the number still doesn't come out right. Plus it would be strange to call that a percentage rather than, say, a yield per attempt. Caitlin has taken 335 shots with a yield of 472 points. Still don't get 60% from this, so they must have something else in mind.
 
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Just noticed this odd stat in the Clark writeup on usage:

"Her effective field goal percentage, most impressively, rests at a personal-best of 60%."

I've never seen this one before. I'm guessing -- if it's not just an error -- it might mean something like taking total points divided by fg attempts without distinguishing 2s and 3s, but the number still doesn't come out right. Plus it would be strange to call that a percentage rather than, say, a yield per attempt. Caitlin has taken 335 shots with a yield of 472 points. Still don't get 60% from this, so they must have something else in mind.
Found this:
"Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) similar to field goal percentage and true shooting percentage. It puts a player’s number of 3 point field goals into perspective of their field goal attempts.
  • Where field goal percentage (FG%) measures the ratio of field goals made to field goal attempts (regardless of the value of the basket), eFG% adjusts to compensate for the extra value (as well as extra difficulty) of 3 point shots.
  • A common criticism of eFG% is that shooters with very high percentage success rates, which favor 3 point shots, would arrive at an eFG% of more than 100%."

Formula:
eFG% = (Field Goals + (0.5 × 3pt Field Goals)) ÷ Field Goal Attempts

Example:
A player has made 240 field goal attempts, an in that time has made a total of 82 field goals, 77 of which were 3 point field goals (3 pointers)

eFG% = (82 + (0.5 x 77)) ÷ 240

eFG% = (82 + 38.5) ÷ 240

eFG% = 120.5 ÷ 240

eFG% = 0.502

Therefore, this player has an eFG% of 0.502, or 50.2%.
 
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That is the reason why 3pt shooters are so valuable. A player that shoots 50% from 2pt range and 40% from 3pt range would be encouraged to shoot more from 3pt range as that is effectively the same as shooting 60% from 2pt. So 10% more points for no increase of shooting percent. The value of a 3 is 50% more than the value of a 2. Paige is currently shooting ~60% from 3pt range. Point wise that is equivalent to shooting 90% from 2pt range!
 
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Formula:
eFG% = (Field Goals + (0.5 × 3pt Field Goals)) ÷ Field Goal Attempts

Example:
A player has made 240 field goal attempts, an in that time has made a total of 82 field goals, 77 of which were 3 point field goals (3 pointers)

eFG% = (82 + (0.5 x 77)) ÷ 240

eFG% = (82 + 38.5) ÷ 240

eFG% = 120.5 ÷ 240

eFG% = 0.502

Therefore, this player has an eFG% of 0.502, or 50.2%.
Excellent explanation. Thanks.

So, for Caitlin this comes out to eFG% = (163 + (0.5 x 76))/335 = .60

Just for context, Paige's eFG% = (98 + (0.5 x 31))/179 = .63

Both of them are a bit above their career eFG%: Paige's is 60.5% and Caitlin's is 56.3%

A very impressive pair.
 
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FG% is actually a pretty meaningless indicator for anyone that takes a few threes. Effective FG% is better as it takes into account not just 3Pt percentage but also volume of attempts vs. 2 pt shots. But the best is True Shooting Percentage. That also takes into account FT attempts and percentage, converting FT's into a FG equivalent.

That percentage is higher for most players because their FT% is usually higher, but drawing fouls is a pretty big factor. For example there are quite a few great spot up jump shooters who have a FT% say around 85%, but they rarely get fouled, so they don't get many substitutions of their FT% for their FG%. A big man who gets fouled on many close in shots, or a player who drives to the basket frequently might have many more FT attempts relative to FG attempts and raise their True Shooting Percentage more than the great shooter with a lower percentage of FT attempts.
 

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