storrsroars
Exiled in Pittsburgh
- Joined
- Mar 23, 2012
- Messages
- 20,015
- Reaction Score
- 40,078
Hadn't seen this linked anywhere, so apologies if a duplicate.
http://www.staging.collegesportsbluebook.com/posts/6
I found this interesting in that the 'theory' being proffered is that a HS player in the 97th percentile of all players in Idaho has a less chance of playing college FB than someone in the 76th percentile of players in PA, primarily due to recruiting budgets.
Granted, this scenario includes FBS/FCS/DII/DIII schools and doesn't seem to offer an algorithm for determining strength of a given program, but it's interesting to note that there appears to be overrecruited and underrecruited states/regions.
I imagine there's a 'Moneyball' scenario in which a savvy school can start identifying those 97th percentilers from Idaho, Montana, Dakotas, etc. at less cost. Perhaps even something as simple as streaming every possible game and using crowdsourcing.
Just speculating as I found the premise interesting, especially when you add in the maps of FBS recruiting from the recent Grantland article. YMMV.
http://www.staging.collegesportsbluebook.com/posts/6
I found this interesting in that the 'theory' being proffered is that a HS player in the 97th percentile of all players in Idaho has a less chance of playing college FB than someone in the 76th percentile of players in PA, primarily due to recruiting budgets.
Granted, this scenario includes FBS/FCS/DII/DIII schools and doesn't seem to offer an algorithm for determining strength of a given program, but it's interesting to note that there appears to be overrecruited and underrecruited states/regions.
I imagine there's a 'Moneyball' scenario in which a savvy school can start identifying those 97th percentilers from Idaho, Montana, Dakotas, etc. at less cost. Perhaps even something as simple as streaming every possible game and using crowdsourcing.
Just speculating as I found the premise interesting, especially when you add in the maps of FBS recruiting from the recent Grantland article. YMMV.
