I thought we had a legitimate chance at him based on two comments attributed to his coach:
-CF asked him to have the media interview other kids on the team instead of always focusing on him, and
-CF loves the game and loves to practice.
He sounded like a hard working, down to earth kid, who loved the game and wasn't seeking hype.
If we had no chance because Duke was his dream school, why did it take so long to announce? You could say the shooting in Maine delayed it, but that happened the Wednesday after his visit ended. If he so loved some school for most of his life why not announce right after the visit to that school?
My bet is he had to pause and think about it to be more sure in his mind. He had seen how the coaches and players at UConn interact with each other and saw their commitment in practice and was so impressed he labored over the decision but in the end went with the safe choice (in his mind), the one he'd been drawn to over the years.
Duke looked like carnival barkers to me. Giving the new coach a six year extension at the time of the visit and having all the players send CF cutesy instagram posts after his visit. That BS would have driven Ray Allen away and I thought CF might react the same way if he was as serious about the game as his coach stated.
So maybe he doesn't dislike the hype as much as Ray did or maybe changing his mind about the school is like changing cell phone providers. If, for example, you know PureTalk uses the ATT system and costs half as much, it sounds like a no brainer that you should change. But you've been with ATT for fifteen years and how do you know for sure PureTalk will be as good?
Intellectually he probably knew UConn was the better fit, but it was hard to change the path he'd always been on.