Jimbo
Running to Stand Still
- Joined
- Jan 1, 2016
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- 3,108
Not surprisingly, Nate Silver & co. like UConn's chances. They currently give UConn a 70% probability to win the tournament. Notre Dame (9%) is next, followed by South Carolina (8%), Baylor (7%), and Maryland (3%). Everybody else in the field is at less than 1%. For some perspective, their "favorite" on the men's side this year is Kansas (19%).
Somewhat interesting: they were actually more bullish on UConn at this time a year ago. Heading into the 2015 tournament, they gave UConn a 74% chance of winning the whole thing, followed by South Carolina (10%), Notre Dame (9%), and Maryland/Baylor/Tennessee (2% each).
Anyway, for whatever it's worth (hovering over various parts of the bracket is fun, at least): The bracket
They'll keep updating the win probabilities for the remaining teams as the tournament progresses, so if you like this kind of thing, it's worth checking out every so often.
Methodology
Last year's bracket
Somewhat interesting: they were actually more bullish on UConn at this time a year ago. Heading into the 2015 tournament, they gave UConn a 74% chance of winning the whole thing, followed by South Carolina (10%), Notre Dame (9%), and Maryland/Baylor/Tennessee (2% each).
Anyway, for whatever it's worth (hovering over various parts of the bracket is fun, at least): The bracket
They'll keep updating the win probabilities for the remaining teams as the tournament progresses, so if you like this kind of thing, it's worth checking out every so often.
Methodology
Last year's bracket