Final 4 Probability

[Vowelguy]

Last year 2 longshots (for women's basketball) -- a #7 seed and a #4 seed -- made the final 4. Another 7 and 4 seed made the E8.
Who might be a longshot this year?

 

[bags27]

If the "good" Tennessee shows up....

 

[Plebe]

Tennessee and NC State have each shown that when they play well they can beat almost anyone. Their respective résumés of quality wins are as good as anyone's except UConn's. The other teams have yet to prove they can elevate their games to that level, though certainly Ohio State has the upside of tremendous talent.

 

[Kaizen]

You should add "others" option ...

 

[oldude]

I can't believe I just voted for TN, but of the teams listed they are the only one with enough talent to pull off a string of upsets and make it to Dallas.

Of course they are also the only one of the teams listed that can lay a gigantic egg and be on their way home after the 1st round.

 

[Zanzman]

Tough choices and I will never vote for Tennessee for anything positive

 

[Zanzman]

Tough choices and I will never vote for Tennessee for anything positive

 

[RockyMTblue2]

You should add "others" option ..

One being none of the above.

 

[eebmg]

Tough choices indeed but I voted for Tennessee for completely selfish reasons. I want to play and destroy them in the FF.

In addition, I do think that despite their coach, they can get on a roll.

 

[Vowelguy]

You should add "others" option ..

No thank you.
I wanted an evaluation of these teams.

 

[BroadwayVa]

I can't believe I just voted for TN, but of the teams listed they are the only one with enough talent to pull off a string of upsets and make it to Dallas.

Of course they are also the only one of the teams listed that can lay a gigantic egg and be on their way home after the 1st round.

I had the same emotional feeling --as if I was betraying Uconn. But with the teams listed--????
As Bags says; If the GOOD Tn team shows up. Unfortunately for Tn fans--the team has to do it without much assistance.

 

[cabbie191]

I went with Tennessee. All the other choices would have to play "out of their minds" for rounds 3 and 4. The Lady Vols, on the other hand, have mainly to play to their potential, which granted seems a stretch for them given their recent history. But I think that's more likely then the other teams getting and staying hot.

 

[bballnut90]

Ohio State and Tennessee are my picks...if I had to pick one, it'd be the Vols.

Tennessee has as much talent as most top 5 teams in the country, they are just wildly inconsistent. They have wins against Stanford/Notre Dame/South Carolina. Clearly, they are capable of putting together a solid game and upsetting a higher ranked team. They could also just as easily lose in the first round of the tournament.

Ohio State gets my 2nd vote because they have a really really good guard in Mitchell and a strong post in Mavunga. If Mitchell goes off, she's incredibly hard to stop since she is lightning quick with incredible range. Mavunga is a smooth athletic forward who is capable of putting up big numbers. If Mississippi State sneaks into a #1 seed and OSU is their 4 seed, I'd put money on OSU over Mississippi State.

 

[j66kicker]

Tough choices and I will never vote for Tennessee for anything positive

I voted for TN, but not because I want them to get to the FF - just because they're the most talented and capable. But after seeing your post, now I'm so ashamed....

 

[Kmoney]

I didn't vote because I can't see any of these teams make the FF. I was going to vote for TN, but every time I went to press the button I felt a sharp pain at the back of my skull.

 

[Vowelguy]

I didn't vote because I can't see any of these teams make the FF.

The question was not which team WILL make the f4. Just which has the best chance.

 

[Hongster]

I didn't vote because I can't see any of these teams make the FF. I was going to vote for TN, but every time I went to press the button I felt a sharp pain at the back of my skull.

Well said. Me too.
Until the day Tenn coach came clean it will forever be cursed............

 

[Shorty Dee]

Maybe Tennessee.

 

[oldude]

FYI, TN is down 40-39 at home in the 4th qtr vs unranked Mizzou, so I may have to revise my pick to anyone but TN

 

[Monte]

Well said. Me too.
Until the day Tenn coach came clean it will forever be cursed..

Right.........NUN OF EM

 

[HuskyFan1125]

I picked NC State. Just because I refuse to pick Tennessee for anything. They both have top 10 wins!

 

[pacific 44]

Voting or saying anything positive about Tennessee would cause me to have a pain that only having a certain part of me in a vise could cause.

 

[triaddukefan]

I picked NC State

1) Im a ACC Homer

2) I live in NC

3) Guard play is important in the NCAA's...... and I trust their backcourt more than the other teams listed

4) I respect Wes Moore as a coach, they have a veteran team, they have a chip on their shoulder, and they fear no one. Seriously.. other than Baylor or UCONN.... what probable #1 Seed would they fear?

 

[triaddukefan]

One being none of the above.

Bet you wouldnt have picked Syracuse or Washington this time last year.... or would you have?

 

[MilfordHusky]

Tennessee has the most talent--by far--so I chose them. I put NC State and OSU next. The others have a COMBINED 1% or less probability. Ain't happenin'.