ESPN Bracketology

[gsmooth]

I’m more concerned about winning the first game than the second, no matter which region or seed we end up in

Any hypothetical first round NCAAT game for UConn is basically a 50-50 chance of winning it. As far as the first round games go, there really isn't much difference between 6 vs 11, 7 vs 10, and 8 vs 9, all those are pretty much 50-50 propositions to win give or take some depending on the match ups.

Let UConn beat Georgetown convincingly.

 

[RuffRuff]

Any hypothetical first round NCAAT game for UConn is basically a 50-50 chance of winning it. As far as the first round games go, there really isn't much difference between 6 vs 11, 7 vs 10, and 8 vs 9, all those are pretty much 50-50 propositions to win give or take some depending on the match ups.

Let UConn beat Georgetown convincingly.

There isn’t a diff at all. The 6-11 profile is pretty much the same type of team.

The 1 to 2 line has a massive cliff in quality, in particular the last 2 twos, which are TBD.

Too soon to be idealistic but getting out of that 8-9 would be nice. Issue is that right now we’re small dab dead center in it.

 

[Hi-Low]

If we are 8/9 we are damn near guaranteed to be in Duke's pod

You can bank on that...networks love good "Blue Blood" match-ups the first weekend.

Duke is a very good team but they've played in a very weak ACC this year, and were 2-2 in meaningful non-conf games. They beat Auburn so they're good don't get me wrong but they're not a juggernaut.

 

[Matt1010]

You can bank on that...networks love good "Blue Blood" match-ups the first weekend.

Duke is a very good team but they've played in a very weak ACC this year, and were 2-2 in meaningful non-conf games. They beat Auburn so they're good don't get me wrong but they're not a juggernaut.

Duke has the highest NetRtg in Kenpom history, they are absolutely a juggernaut.

 

[RuffRuff]

You can bank on that...networks love good "Blue Blood" match-ups the first weekend.

Duke is a very good team but they've played in a very weak ACC this year, and were 2-2 in meaningful non-conf games. They beat Auburn so they're good don't get me wrong but they're not a juggernaut.

Not a juggernaut, but a really tough mismatch. Not only do you have Flagg as a 6'9" do everything player that is hard to guard, but they are humongous all over the court. I think they could be challenged by any of these really fast athletic teams who apply a lot of pressure (Houston, StJ).

I don't think we'd stand a chance personally, as we don't have the kind of personnel to challenge them, we're just a weaker version. Against any of these top teams, our only chance is to catch fire from 3 (the great equalizer).

 

[6Nattys4Us]

Last year in the tournament we did this (take from the Elite 8 game vs Illinois)..

PPG Allowed 64.4 in season to 54.0 in tournament
OPP 3-PT PCT 31.9 in season to 21.1 in tournament
REB MARGIN/GM +8.4 in season to +13.0 in tournament

Just shows that we CAN be a better team in the tournament!

 

[HooperScooper]

Not a juggernaut, but a really tough mismatch. Not only do you have Flagg as a 6'9" do everything player that is hard to guard, but they are humongous all over the court. I think they could be challenged by any of these really fast athletic teams who apply a lot of pressure (Houston, StJ).

I don't think we'd stand a chance personally, as we don't have the kind of personnel to challenge them, we're just a weaker version. Against any of these top teams, our only chance is to catch fire from 3 (the great equalizer).

I'm sure this is a minor injury and Proctor will be fine.

https://247sports.com/article/dukes-tyrese-proctor-leaves-game-against-miami-with-knee-injury--246185377/

 

[Hi-Low]

Baylor and Gonzaga might both miss the tournament.

In Baylor's defense, they did lose their only guy over 6'8" to injury. But they also put themselves in that position in roster construction. Gonzaga has 0 excuses.

Baylor is no longer a Quad 1 win as they dropped to 31....so we're down to 4 Q1 wins.

Can't see Zags missing Tourney with a NET of 8. Whatever they did with scheduling is pure genius...they're 2-6 in Q1 game and have Net of 8

 

[auror]

Baylor is no longer a Quad 1 win as they dropped to 31....so we're down to 4 Q1 wins.

Can't see Zags missing Tourney with a NET of 8. Whatever they did with scheduling is pure genius...they're 2-6 in Q1 game and have Net of 8

Yeah I posted in the first half when Gonzaga was down. Winning that game by that margin last night will help their profile a lot.

 

[RuffRuff]

Baylor is no longer a Quad 1 win as they dropped to 31....so we're down to 4 Q1 wins.

Can't see Zags missing Tourney with a NET of 8. Whatever they did with scheduling is pure genius...they're 2-6 in Q1 game and have Net of 8

Baylor lost their big for the season, but you'd think with VJ, Omier, Wright and Roach they'd be able to make some kind of dent this season. They've been a massive bust. Drew has had more NBA talent come through that program than anyone the last few years with not a ton to show for it. He's got that title to soften the blow, that was a loaded Baylor team. Drew is one of those coaches that feels more sizzle than substance.

 

[B1GEast]

The committee will not put high seed UConn in the East bracket.

 

[6Nattys4Us]

Committee has done a decent job last few years - you get credit for playing a team when you did, not after. Our wins vs Gonzaga and Baylor will count as will Texas. They stopped doing the waterfall (e.g., if you beat a #1 team in November but they are unranked in March, you still get credit). We will get credit for McNeeley and Nowell missing a month as well.