It's a bad matchup.
UConn must do a few things to keep this close:
1- win the turnover game decisively. Or at least win the fast break game. The thief is TO prone and just mediocre in the half court, but he is fantastic on the break.
2- win the three point line. They have one ace shooter then a lot of mediocre shooters who can get hot. Southernland is a great shooter, they would be much easier to defend if he was still ineligible after his cheating incident.
3- second chance points, I don't expect UConn to win the rebound battle but they have to stop Cuse from scoring on second chance points.
It's going to take a lot of luck, they have a much better team on paper, but Michigan State is number 8 and just smoked number 3 by 30.
Syracuse should be favored by 9 or so.