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Taken from an Insider article.
Kinda weird to pick a bubble team who could very well be left out of the tournament entirely as the most likely to make a run.
American
Team with the best shot in 2016: Cincinnati
Most recent Final Four appearance: Connecticut 2014
Give us a moment to flip a coin because we're not comfortable with any of this. Cincy, like its colleagues in the AAC, remains tethered to the bubble, but Saturday's home win over Connecticut helped its cause. Our colleague John Gasaway's Tuesday Truths slotted Cincy as second in the conference behind SMU in efficiency margin (the difference between a team's offensive and defensive efficiency marks) and first among the league's postseason-eligible squads. There is nothing overwhelming about Cincy, but its AAC opponents have scored just .94 points per possession, and the team is second in the league in turnover rate (16 percent). We pick Octavius Ellis and the Bearcats -- also the name of a little-known 1960s Motown group -- to make the league's deepest run ... if Cincy makes the cut.
Kinda weird to pick a bubble team who could very well be left out of the tournament entirely as the most likely to make a run.