EOY 2021: Predict the Top 8 Seeds

[visitingcock]

Predict your choices for the top 8 seeds:

* you may change until January 1, 2022 at 12:01 am - when you lock in

* choices will be scored when the selection committee makes its selection ( duh)

* the picker(s) who choose(s) the most teams in the 8 top seeds chosen by the committee will be the first round winner(s)

* If no pickers tie in the first round, the first round winner is the champ

* if there are more than one first round winners, they advance to second round scoring

* the second round, if any, will be scored on the number of correct picks in order of seeds 1-4

* The first round winner(s) who have predicted seeds 1-4 most accurately will be the champ(s)

 

[visitingcock]

1. SCar....................... 8. Texas
2. Stanford .................7. Louisville
3. NC State.................6. UConn
4. Maryland.................5. Tennessee

My early picks (though New Year’s Eve libations may alter them). I’m counting on UConn sweeping the Big East and Paige returning before the committee makes its selection.

Merry Christmas to all. Yeah even the Vols.

 

[eebmg]

1. SCar....................... 8. Texas
2. Stanford .................7. Louisville
3. NC State.................6. UConn
4. Maryland.................5. Tennessee

My early picks (though New Year’s Eve libations may alter them). I’m counting on UConn sweeping the Big East and Paige returning before the committee makes its selection.

Your posts are confusing. You want the picks in before New Year but then make your picks assuming the season and conference championships are over??

 

[visitingcock]

Your posts are confusing. You want the picks in before New Year but then make your picks assuming the season and conference championships are over??

Picks now as a forecast. Scored by actual committee picks when they happen. Thanks for asking. ( I should have used the word “predict” instead of “pick”)

Nothing prevents another pick’em in the short time between the end of conference tournaments and the selections. These are pre-conference picks so anything could happen. My Texas pick could end up being real stupid if Baylor still owns the Big 12

 

[eebmg]

Picks now as a forecast. Scored by actual committee picks when they happen. Thanks for askingZ

Nothing prevents another pick’em in the short time between the end of conference tournaments and the selections. These are pre-conference picks so anything could happen. My Texas pick could end up being real stupid if Baylor still owns the Big 12

Oh. I see.

 

[Plebe]

In the bracket announcement (not talking about the "teaser" reveals they've been doing in recent years in February), the committee doesn't usually reveal the "true" seeding order of teams after the top 4. Since there are always necessary deviations from from the S-curve due to conference affiliation and other factors, we may or may not be able to deduce which teams are the actual 5 through 8.

For example, if your prediction above were the actual bracket, we wouldn't know whether Louisville was in fact the overall #7 or whether they were overall #6 and therefore had to be bumped so as not to be put in the same region as NC State.

 

[visitingcock]

In the bracket announcement (not talking about the "teaser" reveals they've been doing in recent years in February), the committee doesn't usually reveal the "true" seeding order of teams after the top 4. Since there are always necessary deviations from from the S-curve due to conference affiliation and other factors, we may or may not be able to deduce which teams are the actual 5 through 8.

For example, if your prediction above were the actual bracket, we wouldn't know whether Louisville was in fact the overall #7 or whether they were overall #6 and therefore had to be bumped so as not to be put in the same region as NC State.

Point noted. Thanks fir your comment.

I don’t really consider 5-8 as having “actual” seeding ranks, but pairings with 1-4. That kinda of why I laid my picks out the way I did in my second post.

Picks 1-4 are generally ranked according to what the committee feels are the 4 best teams. 5-8 are considered the next four and are placed (not ranked) with the top four with a broad amount of discretion in consideration of travel for fans (attendance), avoidance of rematches, tv marketability of Regional matchups, conference politics, etc.

It this is all a prediction game

 

[Plebe]

Point noted.

I don’t really consider 5-8 as having “actual” seeding ranks, but pairings with 1-4. That kinda of why I laid my picks out the way I did in my second post

Okay, but the committee doesn't designate them as 5-8. They will only be shown as #2 seeds paired with the respective #1 seeds.

 

[eebmg]

I guess you can just use the end of year top 8 AP rankings as the final truth result.

 

[visitingcock]

I guess you can just use the end of year top 8 AP rankings as the final truth result.

Nope. This is about committee selections . I’m going to amend the OP

 

[undersized]

1. South Carolina ..... 8. Texas
2. Stanford ..... 7. Louisville
3. NC State ..... 6. Tennessee
4. Arizona ..... 5. Indiana

 

[Jmsdawg]

1. South Carolina
2. Texas
3. NCST
4. Arizona
5. Louisville
6. Stanford
7. Baylor
8. UCONN

 

[Vowelguy]

Merry Christmas to all. Yeah even the Vols.

You are dead to me.

 

[Vowelguy]

1) SoCar / Indi
2) Stan / Bay
3) NCSt / Ga
4) MD / Lou

 

[triaddukefan]

1. South Carolina
2. Stanford
3. State
4. Maryland
5. Arizona
6. Louisville
7. Indiana
8. Georgia

 

[Vowelguy]

3. State

Is this the team from the Dr Pepper commercials?

 

[Vowelguy]

Point noted. Thanks fir your comment.

I don’t really consider 5-8 as having “actual” seeding ranks, but pairings with 1-4. That kinda of why I laid my picks out the way I did in my second post.

Picks 1-4 are generally ranked according to what the committee feels are the 4 best teams. 5-8 are considered the next four and are placed (not ranked) with the top four with a broad amount of discretion in consideration of travel for fans (attendance), avoidance of rematches, tv marketability of Regional matchups, conference politics, etc.

It this is all a prediction game

To clarify then, what you’re really asking for are the top 4 seeds in order, with their respective 2 seeds.

 

[visitingcock]

To clarify then, what you’re really asking for are the top 4 seeds in order, with their respective 2 seeds.

Yes

 

[Bigboote]

A barely educated guess at this point:

1) Greensboro: South Carolina - Maryland
2) Bridgeport: NC State - UConn
3) Spokane: Stanford - Indiana
4) Wichita: Arizona - Louisville

I think Maryland or Louisville could quite possibly displace any of those I have listed as 2-4

Likewise, I think Texas has a very good shot at a 2 seed, and Tennessee and Georgia good shots, Baylor and Iowa State outside shots.

 

[bballnut90]

1) Greensboro: South Carolina - Louisville
2) Bridgeport: NC State - UCONN
3) Spokane: Stanford - Maryland
4) Wichita: Indiana - Texas

UCONN is the most tricky since they may (or may not) have Bueckers back, not to mention the other injured players. Whatever their seed is, they'll be in Bridgeport.

Indiana is a team that seems primed and on a good track to go deep this year so I think they'll get a #1 over Maryland. Maryland just doesn't have the same magic they did a year ago, but getting Miller back could change all of that. All that said, the Big Ten just doesn't look very good this year so they may get passed over for a 1 seed.

I think Texas just looks more solid and consistent than a team like Arizona. Texas has wins over A&M and Stanford, and an OT loss on the road to a tough Tennessee squad. The Big 12 doesn't look particularly good this year either, but wins against Baylor/Iowa State would be good additional resume boosters. My guess is they probably drop 2-3 games in conference play and qualify as a 2.

Arizona has beaten Louisville but has had close games vs. DePaul and vs. Vanderbilt. Pac 12 looks dreadful too so unless Oregon or Oregon State greatly improve, I think Arizona will have a hard time nabbing a top 2 seed unless they can take a game off Stanford and avoid more than 1-2 other losses in the Pac 12. Realistically I think they'll drop at least 4-5 games in conference play. Too bad the Arizona/Texas game was canceled.

Louisville is in the same mold as Arizona/Texas as a good defensive team that struggles manufacturing points. They have great wins over UCONN and Michigan, but I see them losing a handful of games in ACC play so I don't think they'll be able to hold on to a #1 seed. I think they'll finish 2nd in the ACC with 3-4 conference losses.

I don't think anyone will want to see Arizona, Louisville or Texas in their bracket.

 

[visitingcock]

A barely educated guess at this point:

1) Greensboro: South Carolina - Maryland
2) Bridgeport: NC State - UConn
3) Spokane: Stanford - Indiana
4) Wichita: Arizona - Louisville

I think Maryland or Louisville could quite possibly displace any of those I have listed as 2-4

Likewise, I think Texas has a very good shot at a 2 seed, and Tennessee and Georgia good shots, Baylor and Iowa State outside shots.

A Big 12 team will be chosen. It’s politics.

You have the ACC, Big 10 and PAC with a two spots. The SEC has only one despite having the strongest teams in inter- conference play. The Big 10 looked weak in inter conference play. But one of the SEC teams needs to be a CLEAR number 2 in the conference. Tennessee???

NOT SAYING YOU ARE WRONG. We’re all guessing.

 

[nwhoopfan]

Pac 12 looks dreadful

That's a vast overstatement. They have been underperforming overall, but that's a long way from being dreadful.

 

[Plebe]

A Big 12 team will be chosen. It’s politics.

Chosen for what, a 1 seed or a 2 seed?

It really doesn't work that way. The committee is diligent about judging resumes on individual merit. They don't preordain spots for conferences. [ ]

 

[Vowelguy]

A Big 12 team will be chosen. It’s politics.

Oh geez no it’s not.
Stop with conspiracy BS.