First, our overall record...
UMass: 27-13 win. We play a poor overall game on both sides of the ball, as we hold our offense back so we save some plays for NCSU. Our offensive line struggles, a harbinger for the rest of the year. UMass was a middle-of-the-road CAA school last year, so while they won't have enough size or speed to beat us, they are still a significant step up from the likes of Fordham, Rhode Island, etc.
I concur, but remember the University of New Haven loss back in the late eighties. I'm sure Uconn felt they had the edge in size and speed. Just need to be careful. Can you have a "trap game" for your opener?
NCSU: 14-10 loss. I feel our defense plays well. I am still not entirely sold on NCSU's QB Glennon, who will throw interceptions, and their running game will be overmatched by our front seven. Ultimately, our inability to run or pass the ball will do us in as O'Brien's team makes a few more plays. Note that NCSU's recruiting rankings and conservative play under Tom O'Brien resemble Edsall's UConn program. NCSU will not overmatch us or impress anyone on the board, but they will be a tough out.
Agree with you on this one. Reminiscent of the UNC game in '09. "Our inability to run or pass" is indicative for continuing problems in '12 AND is getting old. Need to change things on offense - scoring both in the air and on the ground. Preferrably a quick strike offense would be a pleasant and long overdue change.
At Maryland: 30-13 win. One of our best performances of the year. UMD is awful on both sides of the ball, lacking size and playmakers. CJ Brown is about as accurate as 2009 Tyler Lorenzen. Their DT Vellano will slow down our running game by himself, but we are too talented and disciplined for them. I expect Whitmer to have his first strong game as UConn's starter.
Would be a terrific win, but UConn is still definitely not a good road team. Not sure I share your optimism, especial if "our inability to run or pass" continues to plague.
At Western Michigan: 31-17 win. This may seem like a dangerous game, but if we lose to WMU again, I will have questions about Pasqualoni's coaching ability. Western Michigan beat us because of their receiver play last year. Ravenall, Arnheim, and Jordan White have all graduated, and Carder isn't really a great quarterback. Note that not having Wreh-Wilson hurt us in this game last year, while we were unable exploit their three injured starters on their OL. Their defense is terrible.
No opinion here, save for UConn not being a good road team. Would be nice to put the MAC teams in "our rear view mirrors" once and for all.
Buffalo: 24-10 win. Similar to last year. UB's defense is a step up from WMU's, but their offense is significantly worse. We take care of business but don't gain any top 25 votes in the process.
Thank goodness for Buffalo, huh?
At Rutgers: 27-10 loss. RU's defense destroys our offense while Jamison has a nice game against our run D. Revenge game. We do not match up well here. Hopefully they continue to kick the ball to Williams.
That would give Rutgers 4 out of the last 5 games, I'm guessing. And, then another year of 'yarders posturing about how much better UConn is than Snooki U. Let's just get a win.
Temple: 27-20 win. Temple is strong at RB and QB, but weak on the lines. Their defense isn't as good as it was in 2010 but won't be a cakewalk. McCombs has a nice game.
Let's get Temple to play West Virginia, with the winner coming to Rentschler Field to play UConn and give loyal fans a good taste of BCS football as promise back when UConn was making the jump into D1. . As for Temple - see Western Michigan comments.
At Syracuse: 21-20 win. Thriller. I don't trust Nassib to beat our secondary and their defense still lacks size. Losing Chandler Jones will hurt their run defense badly.
Just don't lose. Again, the "road" beckons.
At USF: 27-7 loss. Ugly nightmare from the beginning. Daniels finally does something against us while our offense goes nowhere against an experienced USF defense. Bad match-up.
FYI, Daniels had UConn beat in '09 (the Snow Bowl) save for the heroics of Teggart's last play, clutch FG. Daniels engineered a second half comeback that absolutely rendered helpless the UConn defense by the fourth quarter. For once, it was the offense to the rescue with a big time drive on its last possession.
Pitt: 31-17 win. I love this match-up. Pitt is undersized as heck as linebacker and we should run the ball here. Sunseri lit us up last year, in my opinion, because Calvin McGee owns our defense. He didn't throw well against anyone else and I feel we slow him down. Will Graham return 100% from his injury? Pitt has too many question marks not to struggle mightily in Chryst's first year.
Don't know on this one. UConn is very "Dow Jones" when they step on the field against Pitt. Over the years, they've had some of their finest moments and worst moments. "Our inability to run or pass"??? I'm thinking UConn will be able to run this season (they always can), as for passing . . . anybody seen Dan Orlovsky?
At Louisville: 23-14 loss. Surprisingly competitive, but we lose despite running the ball well. IMO, Strong is a better coach than Pasqualoni and Louisville has more playmakers on offense than we do.
Road game, enough said. However, if UConn can put together a much better offense this season . . . this one could be interesting.
Cincinnati: 35-14 win. Everything comes together in a fantastic conclusion to the regular season. Whitmer lights up an awful secondary, the defense stops the run and forced Legeaux into several turnovers, and Williams gets a KR touchdown. Cincinnati lost a lot from last year, including stars Wolfe and Pead. I can't see them beating us at home.
It's a home game, so that much is going for the Huskies.
Final record: 8-4. It's a less impressive record than it looks, as we don't beat a single team with a winning record and lose badly to peer programs Rutgers and USF, but we take a positive step in the right direction for our 2013 campaign. The ACC games are pivotal. (Totally agree here. These games are the most important on the schedule given the crippled, devalued and uncertain state of the conference). If we win both, we can be a true "surprise" team nationally. Win one, and we are in OK shape. Win none, and that WMU game becomes critical to save the season.
Next, bold (and not so bold) predictions about the strengths and weaknesses of our team...
1. We are adequate at kicker. Puyol is a highly touted recruit while Christen has a leg. We are OK here, but we will miss Teggart more than once this year.
2. The receivers don't materialize. I'm not sold on our guys yet and still think losing Kashif Moore's speed and leadership is going to be a huge blow. Michael Smith drops a lot of passes while Phillips couldn't start at BC. Williams was mostly ineffective at wideout last year (Buffalo being the exception) while the young guys are unproven. I see no go-to guys here. Hopefully Bryce McNeil is as good as advertised.
Phillips and McNeil hold the key. All others are suspect (until proven otherwise) given UConn's dismal track record over the past 5 years or so - save for a special guest appearance by Easley for 8 or 9 glorious games.
3. Taylor Mack is the comeback player of the year and gives us three quality corners to choose from.
4. OL struggles all year, especially in pass protection. It was mediocre last year with Petrus and Ryan in the line-up. You don't lose that kind of talent and improve, even with another year in the new system.
And I thought this was an area where Randy really shined in his "recruiting successes".
5. Whitmer is slightly below average at QB, comparable to 2007 Lorenzen or 2009 Frazer. He throws 15 interceptions, but bombs for 2,600 yards without taking as many sacks as McEntee did. He will be no worse than average by 2013.
Anything has got to be better than last season. Please though, if there is "cosmic justice" out there let Whitmer be a better passer than Lorenzen (setting the bar low). It would be nice, however, if he could tuck it and run like the NFL caliber athlete Lorenzen (a bar set quite high).
6. Someone emerges as a competent back-up running back. Not sure who. Joe Williams didn't play much in the spring game, but Des seems to love him. Then again, Des has proven to be a bit of a sunshine pumper over the years.
7. The defense takes a step forward under Don Brown, much like Maryland's did from 2009 to 2010. The run defense isn't as good without Reyes and Martin, but still finishes in the top 30 nationally. The secondary isn't good, but isn't as inept as last year. We also will force more turnovers.
Let's just hope they don't put more TD's on the scoreboard than the UConn offense.
8. One of our linebackers makes an All-American team. I feel it will be Moore. Guy is an athletic beast. I expect Donahue will make a positive impact on the D as well.
On paper, good corp of LBs.
9. Kickoff coverage remains a huge problem. I also hate our wedge blocking schemes on kick-off returns, though Williams will circumvent that.
10. The Boneyard develops a 200 page "Fire Paul Pasqualoni" thread after the NCSU loss that runs through the entire season. Dissenters mysteriously disappear after UConn victories and reappear when UConn loses again. Paul Pasqualoni wins Big East Coach of the Year, as voted upon by his peers.