Early line on UConn vs SC | The Boneyard

Early line on UConn vs SC

After watching the four top seeds win, I have much doubt that UConn will prevail this Friday. I think SC looked a lot better and will win the game. I hope I am not right. SC looked good last season also after beating Texas in the semi's but still lost to UConn. I hope the same thing happens this time.
 
.-.
Next 12 said:
I don't care what the line is, I just want Uconn to score one more point than S. Carolina at the end of the game. GO HUSKIES!!!!!
Expand ...
Exactly. The men’s team won by 1 and Duke had to go home the same as if they lost by 20.

SC did look pretty good but it was easy to see why Miles and Hildago could not play well together. I would take Hildago Miles tries to be slick on every play
 
Last edited:
donalddoowop said:
After watching the four top seeds win, I have much doubt that UConn will prevail this Friday. I think SC looked a lot better and will win the game. I hope I am not right. SC looked good last season also after beating Texas in the semi's but still lost to UConn. I hope the same thing happens this time.
Expand ...

South Carolina could win, but I thought they looked pretty disjointed against TCU as well. Still have a problem defending the 3, TCU just missed a lot of those open looks. UConn hasn’t done itself any favors, but if those Elite 8 games were any indication, I think Texas looked best.
 
Charliebball said:
I'd say that might be a bit high considering South Carolina has been more impressive than UConn so far in the tournament......-3.5 seems about right......... hoping that UConn is saving its best for the next two games......
Expand ...
But as I’m sure you know, the line isn’t really about who’s better—it’s about balancing the action. Vegas just wants equal money on both sides so they can collect the vig. My guess is more money is coming in on UConn, so the number is shaded that way—not necessarily because there’s that big a gap between the teams.
 
GoCardinal said:
South Carolina could win, but I thought they looked pretty disjointed against TCU as well. Still have a problem defending the 3, TCU just missed a lot of those open looks. UConn hasn’t done itself any favors, but if those Elite 8 games were any indication, I think Texas looked best.
Expand ...
I'd say all three teams have played better than UConn in the past few games but as we know, that means nothing at this time of the year......I'd like to think UConn was playing down to the competition........time to change that...
 
GoCardinal said:
South Carolina could win, but I thought they looked pretty disjointed against TCU as well. Still have a problem defending the 3, TCU just missed a lot of those open looks. UConn hasn’t done itself any favors, but if those Elite 8 games were any indication, I think Texas looked best.
Expand ...
I also think both Suarez and Miles getting tweaked during the game helped South Carolina. That game could have been a lot closer and who knows what could have happened in the 4th if Miles and Suarez were 100%
 
Last edited:
.-.
Charliebball said:
I'd say all three teams have played better than UConn in the past few games but as we know, that means nothing at this time of the year......I'd like to think UConn was playing down to the competition........time to change that...
Expand ...
I also think the rims issue in Ft. Worth was real. Last night they said that all the teams combined only shot 18% from 3 when they were like a combined 35% on the season. UConn is the best at 3 pt percentage so with their normal 3s, those wins could have been 30+ rather than in the 20 pt range and we'd all say they were rolling ....
 
FollowerCT said:
… because this is the final four, all bets are off … UConn, with its experience and poise will be difficult for any team to shake out of its championship intent, purpose …
Expand ...
I don't know Texas looked pretty awesome last night; perhaps the best of the remaining four teams. That -6.5 is pretty tempting.
 
We have confidence that Ash / KK and Sereh will get their confidence back.
This is it for Azzi —and she will show the country why she will be the number 1 draft choice in the WNBA
No doubt that the other 3 teams have gotten better from last year. Texas looks like UConn in a lot of ways.
 
donalddoowop said:
After watching the four top seeds win, I have much doubt that UConn will prevail this Friday. I think SC looked a lot better and will win the game. I hope I am not right. SC looked good last season also after beating Texas in the semi's but still lost to UConn. I hope the same thing happens this time.
Expand ...
How many of the others have played against a defensive like UConns? Like Putting these Sharks in a SC swimming pool...they gonna eat.
 
donalddoowop said:
After watching the four top seeds win, I have much doubt that UConn will prevail this Friday. I think SC looked a lot better and will win the game. I hope I am not right. SC looked good last season also after beating Texas in the semi's but still lost to UConn. I hope the same thing happens this time.
Expand ...
SC pulled away with a dominant 4th quarter. UConn has to guard against that and ratchet down the defense. Be assured SC will try smothering Azzi with their best defender and take her out of the game. Sarah hopefully will have a massive game- X factor Blanca too. Joyce Edward’s for SC is playing great- limiting her should be goal #1. As usual with SC, must rebound well. If UConn hasn’t found their outside shooting touch, this can be a sad night.
 
.-.
hoopsfan22 said:
I don't know Texas looked pretty awesome last night; perhaps the best of the remaining four teams. That -6.5 is pretty tempting.
Expand ...
The -6.5 is the line for UConn vs SC. There will be another betting line for whichever 2 teams end up in the final.
 
All four #1 seeds are in the FF easily. I like the SC game first, because I think it is the most difficult as they match up well. I like us to go to the press (like Ohio State did to us a few years back) right out of the box. Perhaps we will get our offense back in Phoenix, but defense is our bread and butter and we need to eat there. SC had the height over TCU and their depth wore them down in the end. We will need our bigs (Serah and Jana) to play well and we need KK and Ash to return to form if we are to win this one.
 
Charliebball said:
I'd say that might be a bit high considering South Carolina has been more impressive than UConn so far in the tournament......-3.5 seems about right......... hoping that UConn is saving its best for the next two games......
Expand ...
I prefer the Vegas line.
 
GoCardinal said:
South Carolina could win, but I thought they looked pretty disjointed against TCU as well. Still have a problem defending the 3, TCU just missed a lot of those open looks. UConn hasn’t done itself any favors, but if those Elite 8 games were any indication, I think Texas looked best.
Expand ...
I'd say South Carolina's defense is the best that UConn will see so far this season.......same goes for South Carolina playing against the UConn defense........
 
Massey's current score prediction is UCONN 71 SC 70...

I want to see a game like last year's championship game, where UCONN is "can't miss" kind of shooting and Dawn basically stops Coaching at the start of the 2nd Quarter, sits on the bench and yells the "F" word every time something goes good for UCONN or bad for SC.

I will never forget how she just "gave up" ... some will say she just saw the writing on the wall, but her job is to COACH her Team.
 
.-.
SC has all the pieces to beat UCONN should we play our B game. A 5-10 pt win for UConn would not surprise me nor would a 3-4 pt loss. Key to this game is Shade hitting a few shots and KK and K9 matching Ravens line and defensive pressure getting turnovers resulting in some easier transition buckets.
 
Is SC better than they were last season? Back then, they played without a super-big, unlike prior years, and only had Kitts Fagan and Edwards in the front court. Also, Raven was not a perimeter threat. This season, they are much bigger with Okot, and Raven and Latson are both scoring threats. They also have bigs coming off the bench who are decent though not spectacular. In the front court, they also added Makeer who is a difficult matchup at her length. Considering all that, I'd say they are a bit better this season than last.

Are we better than last season? Well, that depends on what sort of confidence we bring to the game. A confident UConn has several perimeter threats and several inside threats, and plays ferocious defense. A diffident UConn doesn't shoot enough threes, which allows opponents to pack the paint. Also, as happened in the first half of the Tennessee game, if KK and Kayleigh are unwilling to shoot from the midrange and beyond, then even if they drive in order to kick the ball out, they won't move SC's defense, and so no open shots elsewhere will be created. This is what happened to Michigan against Texas as well as to TCU against SC. We have to have the confidence to take (and make) perimeter shots. Also, if SC doesn't have to take the ball out of the net, we won't be able to press them effectively.

Conclusion: a confident UConn should win because we'll defend better, hit 3s, and run our transition offense. If they're in phoenix now, they should be able to calm the nerves and get used to shooting on those rims in that arena. Also, when Azzi and Sarah are confident, they are better than last year. They are formidable leaders of the team. Blanca could lift us against ND, because she is startlingly quick and strong. But that won't be enough this weekend. She needs the support of the other two super stars.
 
I think the Sacramento Golden 1 arena (home of the NBA Kings) is a much better basketball venue than the FW Dickies multi-use arena. And remind me which team trailed at half time in their regional final? And does anyone expect SC to shoot 67% from three at the FF? Who was the team playing within 100 miles of their campus in their home state? 200 miles in their home state? Who had mid-afternoon/evening games and thus more sensible practice times and more standard pregame routines? Who had double digit leads entering the 4th Q of their regional final? (TX and Uconn)

As others said - everything to play for in a new city, a basketball purpose built facility, with 3+ days on location to practice and acclimatize, before standard game day schedules. All 4 teams earned this over the last 5 months, and the last two weekends - they were the stand out 4 teams all year. And none except UCLA faced a deficit or a real challenge in the regionals. Uconn hasn't played any one of them this year, while UCLA lost at TX in Nov, and TX holds a 2-1 record against SC.
 
Last edited:
What makes me nervous about SCar is that Dawn is a good coach and they will want "revenge" for last season. On the other hand, I look at games where UConn struggled (by their standards) in the S16 and E8 and still they won by double digits. And I think we are due to get some lucky bounces and for some players to get hot. Knock on wood. The -6.5 line makes sense to me. It's realistic enough to tempt voters, but what does Vegas "know"? 🤔
 
.-.
You must log in or register to reply here.

Forum statistics

Threads
168,131
Messages
4,554,281
Members
10,437
Latest member
poppopwow


Top Bottom