CamrnCrz1974 makes outstanding points. But is a comparison to one's predecessor a valid criteria for an early contract buyout? How, then, is anyone going to survive at UConn once Coach Auriemma leaves?
It is fair to say that the Duke women's program was never better than they were in Coach Goestenkors' last seven seasons. It is also fair to say that if a good team was going to beat UConn, their best chances were between 2005-2007 inclusive.
Coach McCallie has never coached a Wade Trophy caliber player that could take over big games. She has had good players and good teams and it is naturally fair to question whether another coach could have done better.
Coach Goestenkors, by rights, should be 0-4 against UConn. Duke won the 2004 game in Connecticut on a last second three when UConn, inexplicably, did not pressure the ball after Taurasi banked in the floater from the right side to put them up with less than ten seconds remaining. Duke won the Elite 8 game in Bridgeport despite shooting 29%. How in the world is UConn supposed to lose a game when they hold an opponent under 30%, Charde Houston's short miss on the baseline not withstanding; Houston ended up 0-5 and was never the same after that, Renee Montgomery was 6-16, and Ann Strother was 1-6. Still, UConn shot 40% and should have won that game.
To be fair, Coach Goestenkors was two Lindsey Harding missed free throws away from getting to a fourth Final Four.
If Duke was going to consider buying out Coach McCallie's contract, the time to do it was after losing as a #2 seed to 7th seeded DePaul in last year's tournament, a game Duke lost despite outshooting and outrebounding DePaul. Duke, in fact, has actually played increasingly better in their last three NCAA losses if that makes any sense; Losses neverthess.
The difference is, Duke was never close to the level of dominance that UCONN has found under Geno. Under Gail, they were a consistent Final Four favorite and a title threat most years, even if Gail couldn't bring home the title. She did a great job recruiting and put together some very strong teams. Outside of Tennessee/UCONN, Duke was easily the strongest team in WCBB from 1999-2007. Duke was dominant and a scary team to face in March. It was a surprise in 2007, 2004 and 2001 when they were upset in the regional and didn't play in the Final Four.
Gail left Duke in a great position. The came off a 32-2 season, had an outstanding player in Waner returning (she was phenomenal as a sophomore), Chante Black was set to return after a year off, 2 top 10 kids were coming in, and the rest of the lineup was littered with McDonald's All-Americans. Since then, Coach P has done an outstanding job recruiting, but has never made Duke into a Final Four favorite or championship threat like Gail did. After several seasons of Final Four appearances and near championships, Duke has consistently under performed throughout the regular season and post season. Even when they've won against ranked teams, it has never been impressive to watch. They had a Wade Trophy caliber player in Elizabeth Williams, who was outstanding as a freshman and hasn't developed. Chelsea Gray is another player who could have won multiple 1st Team All-American awards had she stayed healthy. Waner looked like she had the ability to develop into a perennial All American under Coach G. Jasmine Thomas was an incredibly athletic and talented player who has since started in the WNBA Finals. They have had the horses and talent to at least make the Final Four.
They've had plausible reasons for their inability to make the Final Four, but Duke has never surprised anybody or pulled off an upset. Every game they are expected to lose, they lose. Games they are expected to win they usually win, and sometimes lose. Under Gail they:
-pulled off one of the biggest upsets in NCAA history when they gave Chamique Holdsclaw her only NCAA tournament loss
-Beat UCONN in Storrs in 2004 ending UCONN's home winning streak
-Slaughtered Tennessee in 2003 and 2006
-Beat them again in 2005 and 2007, both times in TBA. Tennessee went on to win the title in 2007 and made the Final Four in 05
-Beat UCONN in Connecticut during the NCAA tournament. Not sure anyone else has accomplished this
-Slaughtered LSU in 2006 when LSU had Fowles and Augustus
-Thumped eventual title runner up Rutgers by 40 in 2007
All of these are examples of wins that are superior to Coach P's most impressive victory. Tennessee's stellar 2008 graduating class went 0-3 against Goestenkors. Under P, Duke is consistently good, but not great, which is under performing considering how much talent Duke has assimilated every year and how solid of a position Gail Goestenkors left Duke in.