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Message: [QUOTE="DonaldDraper, post: 2542282, member: 1022"] When the probability of performance over the next two years is as bleak (or below a deal-breaking line) as you would expect from a new coach. In 2018-19, if you're looking at bringing back Jalen, Larrier, (a hopefully healthy) Gilbert, Akinjo (Looks like he can shoot should be an improvement over AA), a more productive Carlton and incremental development of the other freshman players I would say you're throwing away a chance at a tourney team by refreshing the coaching situation. It gives him one year to fill the pipe with recruits and you can reassess after the season. If he can't win with that group, Larrier and Adams leave at the end of next year and the pipe is weak, then I think he earned his way out the door and the forecast on the team looks bleak for 2 years. He's had to fill holes and hasn't really had the proper length of time to do it, so they've had to mix in the 5th year and transfer market which isn't the best way to build a team. Some will blame him for losing the team last year which led to the transfers (read: he created his problem). I don't know enough about that situation to blame him for it and that is a tough thing to hang on someone who has been extremely loyal to the program without serious evidence of misdeeds. The Enoch thing was a surprise, but Vance seemed like he wanted to do something he wasn't capable of an had plenty of PT to prove he could do more (we were begging people to step up). I don't know what to make of the departures, and it would take more than a boneyard bonehead's opinion to convince me either way. If Larrier and Adams leave after this year, I think that opens up the door for a potential shift as early as next season as I can't envision a team that will perform at a midrange AAC level without them. Having three guys leave the program with eligibility for the G league in three years and having a number of guys transfer/released from LoI on top of a poor outlook for the next season is an easy decision. Does that sound rational? [/QUOTE]

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