Here's a little Blind Player comparison for you guys:
Player A 10.6 ppg (42% FG, 24% 3pt) 4.95 RPG, 1.17 BlksPG
Player B 17.0 ppg (53% FG, 46% 3pt) 7.14 RPG, 2.57 Blks PG
Player A is Deandre Daniels over the first 23 games of last season.
Player B is Deandre Daniels over the last 7.
Are you suggesting that we should temper our expectations and believe in the larger sample size (Player A)? Or are you saying the DD has "broken out" and we should expect production in line with how he finished the season (Player B)?
I'll go with the obvious and say it'll be somewhere in between. His rebounding numbers will need to be closer to the late-season values for us to be successful and not be victimized on the offense glass to the embarrassing degree that we were last year. I think his 3-point shooting will be in the mid-30's -- not outstanding, but credible enough that they'll have to guard him. I expect him to be able to score on mid-range jumpers and straight-line drives to the hoop. I don't see him being able to break anyone down off the dribble -- any more that two dribbles and he was liable to get stripped.
One thing I hope he's worked on is his strength and finishing ability around the rim. Aside from RJ Evans, he led the team in frequency of getting layups stuffed. If that's the only thing he's improved this summer, he'll be a real offensive threat at the 4.
For what it's worth, here's Player C, which I think is a reasonable basis of comparison, maybe a little optimistic:
Player C 15.2 ppg (46% FG, 32% 3pt) 6.4 RPG, 1.6 Blks PG (30.8 mpg)
That's Rudy Gay in 2006. I don't think DD will "look" as good doing it, and probably will require more minutes to do so, but will probably put up similar numbers to Rudy.
