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OT: Crazy NIL Michigan

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What's absurd about what would amount to a competitive amount per year plus an additional lump sum payout if he completes all three years there?
I read your initial post as trying to make him stay 4 years, which would be absurd. But the #1 recruit in the country, at the most important position, is not taking an NIL deal where he can't touch most of the money for 3 years so you can try to bribe him to stay
 

FfldCntyFan

Texas: Property of UConn Men's Basketball program
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I read your initial post as trying to make him stay 4 years, which would be absurd. But the #1 recruit in the country, at the most important position, is not taking an NIL deal where he can't touch most of the money for 3 years so you can try to bribe him to stay
I'm not looking at it as bribing him to stay any more than NIL offers would be viewed as bribes to commit.

I do believe that if there is an off that far above what had been market rate, the bulk of the excess above market would be in the form of some type of retention bonus.

This isn't college basketball where a true freshman could conceivably be the best player on the team and among the top few in the country. It is quite possible that the best QB prospect out of HS won't be able to contribute his true freshman year (look at Arch Manning). It would be reckless for UM to pay this kid $2.5 million to hold a clipboard his freshman year, the put himself back on the open market for when he will be able to perform as one of the top QBs in the country.
 
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I'm willing to wager that there will be some large retention bonus that won't be available to him until at least after year three. If they are guaranteeing $10 million, they aren't giving him $2.5 million in year one to watch him portal to another school once the season ends.
There is no scenario where he’s portaling anywhere.

He’s already got half his body and brain in the NBA.
 
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This isn't college basketball where a true freshman could conceivably be the best player on the team and among the top few in the country. It is quite possible that the best QB prospect out of HS won't be able to contribute his true freshman year (look at Arch Manning). It would be reckless for UM to pay this kid $2.5 million to hold a clipboard his freshman year, the put himself back on the open market for when he will be able to perform as one of the top QBs in the country.
Have you seen all the QBs Michigan has tried this year? This kid would start from day 1.
 

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