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RPI of 45 is a bubble team, RPI of 56 is out, RPI of 36 is in with probably a 10 seed. But we can't count on the NCAA to be kind to AAC teams -- they never have been.
However, I would be shocked if this team didn't do at least as well as 13-5 in conference. From this projection, we look to be a lock for the tourney, if we take care of business.
But again, they are going to look at schedules. If UConn finishes 45-50, they are going to look at the actual schedule. It makes no sense to credit teams with winning games against midmajors or lowmajors with RPI of 150, while dinging teams for losing games to Maryland or Gonzaga.