Committee Rankings - how they've fared

[Vowelguy]

Here's the committee top 16 (+ others) and how they've fared since the release, plus what they've got left.

TCU is current leader for last 2 seed, but NCSt/Duke/UNC all have big games that could vault them up. OhioSt in danger of falling out.

 

[Vowelguy]

Next & final (before selection day) release is this Thursday 2/27

right now i'd guess it's
UCLA - TX (+1) - SC (-1) - ND / USC - CT (+1) - LSU (-1) - TCU (+1) / UNC (+2) - NCST (-2) - DUKE (-1) - KY (+1) / KST (-1) - OKLA (+1) - TENN (+1) - OSU (-2)

UCLA - TENN / LSU - NCST
ND - OKLA / USC - KY

TX - OSU / TCU - UNC
SC - K ST / CT - DUKE

 

[visitingcock]

Next & final (before selection day) release is this Thursday 2/27

right now i'd guess it's
UCLA - TX (+1) - SC (-1) - ND / USC - CT (+1) - LSU (-1) - TCU (+1) / UNC (+2) - NCST (-2) - DUKE (-1) - KY (+1) / KST (-1) - OKLA (+1) - TENN (+1) - OSU (-2)

UCLA - TENN / LSU - NCST
ND - OKLA / USC - KY

TX - OSU / TCU - UNC
SC - K ST / CT - DUKE

I don’t see 6 SEC teams as being worthy but, when I look around for others in the 8-16 range , it’s hard to say no,

I do expect Kentucky to nosedive before selection Sunday

 

[Vowelguy]

Update thru today, with Ala-Aub still in action. This is almost all the info the committee will have before this Thursday's reveal.

 

[Vowelguy]

Prediction as of right now

1. UCLA
2. Tex +1
3. SC -1
4. ND
5. USC
6. UConn +1
7. LSU -1
8. NCSt
9. TCU
10. UNC +1
11. Duke -1
12. KSt
13. Kntky
14. Okla +1
15. Tenn +1
16. OhioSt -2

but some very close ones -- 4/5 and 8/9
also below top 10 kind of a mess

 

[Vowelguy]

This would set up

1 UCLA - 15 Tenn // 7 LSU - 10 UNC
4 ND - 13 Ky // 5 USC - 12 KSt

2 Tex - 16 OhioSt // 8 NCSt - 9 TCU
3 SCar - 14 Okla // 6 UConn - 11 Duke

 

[Vowelguy]

Quad 1 (with no Q2-Q4 losses):

• Tex 11-2
• SCar 11-3
• UCLA 10-1
• USC 9-2
• LSU 6-2
• ND 6-3
• TCU 6-3
• NCSt 6-5
• Tenn 6-6
• Okla 5-6
• UConn 4-3
• Bama 4-6

============

• UNC 5-3 (+ Q2 loss)
• Md 5-4 (+ 2Q2 losses)
• OklaSt 5-2 (+ 2Q3 & 1Q4 loss)
• Kentucky 4-4 (+ 1Q3 loss)
• Duke 4-5 (+2Q2 losses)
• Iowa 4-6 (+3Q2 losses)
• OleMiss 4-7 (+Q3 loss)
• Indiana 4-7 (+ 2Q2 & 1Q3 loss)

 

[packwrap]

Thanks for this. You may have to add resurgent Baylor to the mix.

 

[Vowelguy]

Final tally before tonight's reveal

 

[Vowelguy]

Based on this, I predict

1. UCLA
2. Tex
3. SC
4. ND
5. USC
6. UConn
7. LSU
8. NCSt
9. TCU
10. UNC
11. Duke
12. Ky
13. Okla
14. Tenn
15. KSt
16. OhSt

1 UCLA - 14 Tenn // 7 LSU - 10 UNC
4 ND - 13 Okla // 5 USC - 12 Ky

2 Tex - 16 OhSt // 8 NCSt - 9 TCU
3 SC - 15 KSt // 6 UConn - 11 Duke

(tho I could see Duke/UNC being swapped in the bracket)

 

[visitingcock]

Based on this, I predict

1. UCLA
2. Tex
3. SC
4. ND
5. USC
6. UConn
7. LSU
8. NCSt
9. TCU
10. UNC
11. Duke
12. Ky
13. Okla
14. Tenn
15. KSt
16. OhSt

1 UCLA - 14 Tenn // 7 LSU - 10 UNC
4 ND - 13 Okla // 5 USC - 12 Ky

2 Tex - 16 OhSt // 8 NCSt - 9 TCU
3 SC - 15 KSt // 6 UConn - 11 Duke

(tho I could see Duke/UNC being swapped in the bracket)

That would seem logical - along with many others. It's gonna' be interesting to see if the committee really cares about Quads.

Of course, conference tournaments may destroy this. Texas can probably take a loss. Scar can't.