College Football 2020: Buzz about spring football season- “Expect news to break soon”

[UConnJim]

What some may have not noted...the uni's got part of that stimulus package...

"According to reports, the University of Central Florida will be receiving the largest amount in Florida’s University System, at $51 million, with $25.5 million for students.

Florida State University will receive $29.3 million, with $14.7 million for students.

FSU President John Thrasher said the university is in sound financial shape and there have been no furloughs or layoffs.

“As far as Florida State University goes, with the federal assistance we’ll get, about $30 million, we’ll be in good shape.”

Michigan's president is forecasting a $400 million to $1 billion loss as a result of COVID-19. They have started furloughs, salary cuts, construction freezes, etc. It's going to be a bloodbath for colleges.

A COVID-19 update from President Mark S. Schlissel | Office of the President

 

[billybud]

Michigan's annual tuition is over 3X the annual tuition for FSU....

And their tuition losses will be higher...their payroll.is also probably higher.

But it will hurt everybody...some more than others.

 

[billybud]

FSU has a hiring freeze...construction freeze...and has losses from paid covid leave....continueing maintenance, etc How much in the end, who knows?

 

[Exit 4]

FSU has a hiring freeze...construction freeze...and has losses from paid covid leave....continueing maintenance, etc How much in the end, who knows?

Its so great the guy on a ridge in North Carolina comes to the UConn football board (of all places) to keep us in yankee country informed on all things Florida State.

 

[billybud]

Its so great the guy on a ridge in North Carolina comes to the UConn football board (of all places) to keep us in yankee country informed on all things Florida State.

Hell...I come here to learn what Michigan is doing re covid...

 

[Hoophound]

Hell...I come here to learn what Michigan is doing re covid...

I get it. This really is a great board.

I don’t mind your FSU info. I have family in Tally and visit often.

 

[Exit 4]

Hell...I come here to learn what Michigan is doing re covid...

You never get it.... but whatever - you are a part of our odd little community anyway

 

[billybud]

You never get it.... but whatever - you are a part of our odd little community anyway

Everyone has an odd uncle at the family reunion....

 

[huskymedic]

 

[billybud]

A nine or eight game schedule option has already been floated as an option...

If a conference goes it alone...it would be this model...I don't see just one or two conferences playing though....but, they sure would get the TV exposure if that happened.

 

[MilliniumPrince]

If they do play in the spring...(I assume it is OK medically)...do they turn right around in August with the regular fall schedule?

Quck turn around...

I would imagine a quick turnaround or pushing the start of the season back to mid September. However, the latter would require more work. I think they would just roll into the season with a shortened Summer practice schedule.

 

[UConnJim]

It is possible that it becomes every conference for themselves as COVID-19 has hit different states harder. Thus, colleges in some states may open for the fall and some may be closed. My guess is the universities in the states hardest hit by the virus are the ones most likely to not open for the fall. So which conferences would be most impacted?

Using the NY Times deaths per 100,000 data (in paper 4/22) and analyzing it by each state in a conference:

Big 12 states: average = 2.2 deaths per 100k, median = 2.6 deaths per 100k

Pac 12 states: average = 4.4 deaths per 100k, median = 3.0 deaths per 100k

SEC states: average = 6.1 deaths per 100k, median = 3.8 deaths per 100k

AAC states: average = 7.9 deaths per 100k, median = 4.0 deaths per 100k.

Big 10 states: average = 12.7 deaths per 100k, median = 9.4 deaths per 100k

ACC states + ND: average = 15.0 deaths per 100k, median = 5.7 deaths per 100k

States hardest hit by coronavirus:

1. NY @ 76.2 deaths per 100k: Syracuse (ACC)
2. NJ @ 53.5 deaths per 100k: Rutgers (Big 10)
3. Louisiana @ 30.2 deaths per 100k: LSU (SEC) and Tulane (AAC)
4. Massachusetts @ 28.5 deaths per 100k: BC (ACC)
5. Michigan @ 27 deaths per 100k: Michigan (Big 10) and Michigan St. (Big 10)
6. Pennsylvania @ 12.3 deaths per 100k: Penn St. (Big 10), Pitt (ACC), Temple (AAC)
7. Illinois @ 11.7 deaths per 100k: Illinois (Big 10) and Northwestern (Big 10)
8. Maryland @ 9.7 deaths per 100k: Maryland (Big 10) and Navy (AAC)
9. Indiana @ 9.4 deaths per 100k: Indiana (Big 10), Purdue (Big 10), Notre Dame (ACC)
10. Washington @ 9.0 deaths per 100k: Washington (Pac 12) and Washington St. (Pac 12)

Conference schools in the hardest hit 10 states:

Big 12 = 0
SEC = 1
Pac 12 = 2
AAC = 3
ACC = 4 (including ND)
Big 10 = 9

When I look at the data, I think the Big 12 and SEC could play in the fall. Pac 12 is up in the air, but my guess is it will depend on what the Governor of California decides about allowing universities to open. The AAC has some problem areas. The southern schools in the ACC could probably play, but not the northern schools. Would the ACC do that? Finally, I don't see how the Big 10 plays football this fall.

 

[billybud]

It depends on where in the curve you are....come spring. Some areas may be pushing prior to spring.

And political will....the President of South Carolina has stated that students will be brought back to the university as soon as the Governor allows it....In Georgia, restaurants open back up Monday...and gyms, barber shops, salons, opened up yesterday.

 

[pepband99]

It depends on where in the curve you are....come spring. Some areas may be pushing prior to spring.

And political will....the President of South Carolina has stated that students will be brought back to the university as soon as the Governor allows it....In Georgia, restaurants open back up Monday...and gyms, barber shops, salons, opened up yesterday.

...which means the SEC won't be playing a thing in the fall.

Friends of mine had this right all along - tell the suthurners: "get inside, moron, or football will be cancelled!"

 

[freescooter]

It is possible that it becomes every conference for themselves as COVID-19 has hit different states harder. Thus, colleges in some states may open for the fall and some may be closed. My guess is the universities in the states hardest hit by the virus are the ones most likely to not open for the fall. So which conferences would be most impacted?

Using the NY Times deaths per 100,000 data (in paper 4/22) and analyzing it by each state in a conference:

Big 12 states: average = 2.2 deaths per 100k, median = 2.6 deaths per 100k

Pac 12 states: average = 4.4 deaths per 100k, median = 3.0 deaths per 100k

SEC states: average = 6.1 deaths per 100k, median = 3.8 deaths per 100k

AAC states: average = 7.9 deaths per 100k, median = 4.0 deaths per 100k.

Big 10 states: average = 12.7 deaths per 100k, median = 9.4 deaths per 100k

ACC states + ND: average = 15.0 deaths per 100k, median = 5.7 deaths per 100k

States hardest hit by coronavirus:

1. NY @ 76.2 deaths per 100k: Syracuse (ACC)
2. NJ @ 53.5 deaths per 100k: Rutgers (Big 10)
3. Louisiana @ 30.2 deaths per 100k: LSU (SEC) and Tulane (AAC)
4. Massachusetts @ 28.5 deaths per 100k: BC (ACC)
5. Michigan @ 27 deaths per 100k: Michigan (Big 10) and Michigan St. (Big 10)
6. Pennsylvania @ 12.3 deaths per 100k: Penn St. (Big 10), Pitt (ACC), Temple (AAC)
7. Illinois @ 11.7 deaths per 100k: Illinois (Big 10) and Northwestern (Big 10)
8. Maryland @ 9.7 deaths per 100k: Maryland (Big 10) and Navy (AAC)
9. Indiana @ 9.4 deaths per 100k: Indiana (Big 10), Purdue (Big 10), Notre Dame (ACC)
10. Washington @ 9.0 deaths per 100k: Washington (Pac 12) and Washington St. (Pac 12)

Conference schools in the hardest hit 10 states:

Big 12 = 0
SEC = 1
Pac 12 = 2
AAC = 3
ACC = 4 (including ND)
Big 10 = 9

When I look at the data, I think the Big 12 and SEC could play in the fall. Pac 12 is up in the air, but my guess is it will depend on what the Governor of California decides about allowing universities to open. The AAC has some problem areas. The southern schools in the ACC could probably play, but not the northern schools. Would the ACC do that? Finally, I don't see how the Big 10 plays football this fall.

The Mayor of LA already said you aren’t playing there so there is that. No home games for USC. UCLA actually plays in Pasadena which I think is a separate city but I’m guessing not there either. I also don’t see Oregon or Washington playing.
In the ACC my daughter teaches at UNC and they are still uncertain about whether they will have regular classes in September and if they don’t Duke and NC St ate won’t either.

 

[huskymedic]

Let’s try that again (they don’t learn...)

 

[billybud]

Heck...it's the g'damn New Yorkers who had to flock outside, travel all over.....our first case in my county was a guy from New York...we have had 18 cases...and 15 track back to the New Yorker and his guest at his cabin. They went to a popular folk dance.

 

[billybud]

And...five states protesting stay at home orders...and who would have figured four of the five? Blue in 2016...nuttiness is colorblind.

Residents protest coronavirus stay-at-home orders in 5 states

Opposition to COVID-19 stay-at-home orders has continued to build from coast to coast, with at least five states the site of protests Sunday.

abcnews.go.com

 

[huskymedic]

>“The decision regarding face-to-face classes for Fall 2020 will be made with the approval of the Board of Trustees and communicated before June 30, 2020,” Katsouleas said. “Factors contributing to that decision will include the progress on slowing COVID-19, guidance from public health experts, decisions and guidance from federal and state government and the availability of testing among others.”

Katsouleas said faculty should be preparing for online fall courses for planning purposes only, and reiterated that no decision has been made yet regarding the fall semester return. <

 

[Dream Jobbed 2.0]

Not even driven by NCAA. It’s a different acronym CDC

 

[brasssbonanzaa]

0% chance some conferences play in the fall and others in the spring.

 

[UConnJim]

0% chance some conferences play in the fall and others in the spring.

It will be every conference for themselves. Why give up their TV money because a couple of conferences decide not to play?

 

[DAC17]

Anyone who thinks there will be college football this fall is kidding themselves. Sorry, a very inconvenient truth.

 

[Figurehead]

Basketball likely cancelled on the East Coast Wow! Just wow!

 

[brasssbonanzaa]

It will be every conference for themselves. Why give up their TV money because a couple of conferences decide not to play?

What are they going to play for? You think the CFP committee is going to rank teams when the SEC and Big 12 are playing but the Big 10, Pac 12, and ACC aren't? Much less, there'd be no CFP and no bowls.

Will not happen.