Honest answer, I think most any competent coach could win 17-19 games with this schedule and this team. A really good one would win 23-24, and in a perfect world I like Shaka Smart a lot but I've been damned impressed with the job Larranaga is doing and quite honestly the job he did at George F*&king Mason before that, I just ignored him because he's been at George F%^king Mason. And I'd love to have figured out a way to get the Stevens. He might well be the best of them all. Though Smart strikes me as a young Jim Calhoun with the intensity and all, is clearly a very good coach and I think in 2-3 years we'll really regret not making that move when Ollie is flopping around at 22-11 and going out in the 1st round every year.
As for the future, it is really difficult to say mostly because the conference realignment that has occurred since the season started makes it really difficult to project what UConn will be able to do. I'll tell you what I suspect will happen though. Ollie will have a long but not particularly illustrious career here now. He will win 20 plus pretty much most years, but that won't be so much a reflection of his coaching abilities as it is on the quality of the conference going forward. Like it or hate it, we're starting life in the next few years as the very very big dog in a conference of mostly midgets. But I suspect his teams will be regularly 1 and out teams in the tournament. Again, it might not be entirely his fault. Because of the league, we will struggle to get the kind of really high seeds we'd normally get as a Big East member. The days of getting a 2 seed because we're UConn are over for sure. So we'll also have lots of tougher games. I think the best example of Ollie's tenure may well be Dom Perno. Nice guy, decent Yankee conference level coach. But he was kept around far beyond when it was clear he was over his head because he stole the ball from Bill Bradley. Ollie will be kept around far beyond when it is clear he's a mid-major coach because he was Jim Calhoun's choice. Over time, I don't see Ollie having the skills or the fire to keep us at the level of a major power despite being stuck in a mid-major league. I think Smart would do that. Stevens would do that. There are other guys but given where we are, we have no chance to get them now. We would have last April. That is my honest opinion.