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Message: [QUOTE="ToolzieFan, post: 2992055, member: 7018"] KenPom projects a 74-64 Cincy win. They are excellent defending 2-point shots, with opponents shooting 42.3% from 2, the 9th lowest percentage in the country. They block shots (3rd best block rate at 17.6%) and force turnovers (22.7% TO % is 30th, 11.2% steal % is 44th). Opponents take 44% of their shots from 3, converting on 35.7%. That's consistent with Cincy being upset when opponents shot well from 3. We'll have to hit our long-range shots, but hopefully we can also grab some offensive boards and keep them off the glass to minimize second-chance points. Limiting turnovers is obviously always important. It's no doubt a tough matchup for us, but I don't think Cincy is at the level they've been at the last few years. [/QUOTE]