Oden was not that bad of a choice based on basketball ability. Based on health it is/was. Oden was a fantastic basketball player with the knees of a 90 year old. He averaged almost 16, 9 and 3.3 a game and led his team to 35-4 record and the NCAAT championship game as a freshman.
Durant on the other hand averaged 25-11-2-2 on pretty good shooting %'s but lost in the second round.
Darko is much less defensible. If anything it shows how little imagination Dumars had/has. He could have drafted Wade/Melo/Bosh/etc. and then traded Rip/Tayshan/Rasheed/etc. in a few years and kept that franchise going for another few years.
Darko was not the athlete Drummond is, though he was supposed to be more refined.
That being said, who projects to be as good as Durant in this draft? I don't think anyone is saying Drummond should go ahead of Davis (not Durant either FWIW). For that matter, who projects as well as Oden did prior to him being drafted/injured?
After Davis it is really a crapshoot. There are no players without significant flaws. It's a question of whether you want to take a shot at someone who will likely be a starter but never an all-star, or someone who could be an superstar. You have (in no order):
- Thomas Robinson (limited upside, depending on what he measures out at, showed an inability to produce against taller players)
- Jared Sullinger (see Robinson, with more range and more ground bound)
- Harrison Barnes (did not display the ability to take over a game, suffered horribly without Kendall Marshall)
- MKG (limited range, game is based on athletic ability, questionable how well that will work in the NBA at his height)
- Bradley Beal (actual shooting percentages left a lot to be desired)
- Jeremy Lamb (see Barnes and Beal)
- John Henson (skinny, has not shown the ability to put on weight/muscle in 3 years)
- Perry Jones (see Barnes/Lamb)
- Terrance Jones (bad attitude, no right hand, lateral quickness is questionable for a 3 and height is lacking for a 4)
- Tyler Zeller (good not great center, 22 Y/O, limited upside)
- Kendall Marshall (no shot, can't play defense)
- Austin Rivers (Bad shooting mechanics, ball-hog)
- Royce White (no shot, no real post game, mental issues [I like the kid, but the NBA will consider this])
- Moe Harkless (bad shooting percentages/limited range, remember how everyone says Daniels can't shoot (24% from 3), well Harkless shot more at a worse percentage (21.5% from 3))
- Dion Waiters (questionable shooter, never played man defense, tweener)
Only MKG is younger than Drummond and most of those players are a few years older. Not a single one has the upside of Andre.