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Message: [QUOTE="boba, post: 2648319, member: 1556"] Wow. As a science worker I must admit the best part of my job is when I discover that I am wrong (or that someone else is wrong) because when you get to that point, you are making progress. Too often we just spend our time proving something we think is true is real and not some artifact of the data we are analyzing. Weather in spring, in high latitudes, near continental boundaries, is well known and well understood to be especially difficult model and or predict. The number of inputs increases on logarithmic scale over very short periods. There is a great deal of energy in the lower latitudes that is capable of inserting a tremendous amount water vapor into the the mix. Then the arctic air masses are exceptionally unstable during March - April and cause the jet stream to behave in the same exceptionally erratic manner. It is simply beyond our capabilities to accurately predict how certain stimuli will insert themselves into the prevailing pattern. There a reason that they use terms such as "NN percent chance" of whatever weather they are predicting, because the there is a statistically probability that something will (or will not) occur. And if you really want to feel good about "science," I can tell you with near 99% certainty that the majority of oncologists will admit that their accuracy rate is on par with meteorology and those that claim they are better are lying to you. [/QUOTE]